Free Sports Picks

Comp Soccer Prediction from Doc’s Sports. MLS Take Dallas/Salt Lake OVER (8:30 p.m. EST, Saturday May 10) (Graded after regulation time - 90min - plus injury time)

These sides are nothing to write home about offensive, but their defenses are bad enough where both sides should have plenty of opportunities, and these sides have a strong history for high scoring matches. These are two of the worst defensive sides in MLS and combine to allow more than three goals per match. Dallas is coming off a road loss to San Diego where they conceded five goals. They were held scoreless in that one, but they should put an emphasis on scoring here and home pitch should help in that regard, and Salt Lake have given up five goals in their last three on the road. There’s a great chance Dallas could get two or more here. Salt Lake have scored in three straight on the road, amassing five goals in those matches. So there’s a good chance they will get at least one, and multiples is not out of the question. Four of the last five meetings have gone over the posted number, and three of those matches have seen four or more goals scored. We think we could see a result where both sides had multiple goals, but we are confident both will combine for three or more, and this price is more than fair for Saturday’s clash. 

Jack's Free Pick Friday: Seattle Mariners -132

I like the spot for the Seattle Mariners Friday.  They had Thursday off while the Toronto Blue Jays were completing a series in Los Angeles.  The Mariners will have the rest advantage, and they are playing the much better baseball coming into this one.

The Mariners are 18-6 in their last 24 games overall.  They are showing they have a much more potent offense this season scoring at least 4 runs in 19 of those 24 games.  They are scoring 5.1 runs per game on the season which ranks 5th in baseball.  The Blue Jays are scoring 3.9 runs per game which ranks 25th.

Luis Castillo is coming off his best two starts of the season allowing one earned run and 9 base runners in 12 innings.  Castillo has allowed just 4 earned runs in 11 2/3 innings in his last two starts against Toronto.

Kevin Gausman has faltered here of late allowing 10 earned runs in 14 2/3 innings in his last three starts coming in.  Gausman has allowed 6 earned runs and 4 homers in 12 innings in his last two starts against Seattle.  Bet the Mariners Friday.

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Thunder vs Nuggets 
5-Unit bet on the UNDER priced at 232.5 points. 

The following NBA betting algorithm has produced a 108-41-4 Under record good for 73% winning bets since 2019. The requirements are:  

Bet on the Under in a matchup of teams that have won 60% or more of their games on the season.  

The total is higher than the road teams’ average total for the season.  

The road team is playing their third game with 4 or more days of rest. 

LIVE Betting Strategy | I prefer betting 2.5 units preflop and then look to add 1.5 more units at 237.5 points and 1-unit at 241.5 points. The downside is that we don’t get those additional live betting prices but that does imply we are winning the 2.5 units bet UNDER. Scoring volatility increases as the total for the game increases so at prices above 230 it is highly unlikely that the total pricing will trend lower and lower from the opening tipoff.  

1* Free Pick on Orioles/Angels: over 9

All plays are made using sophisticated machine learning models.

1* Best Bet on Orioles -1½

No analysis provided.

Mariners -130

The Mariners are worth a move on Friday night as they take on Toronto. Castillo gets the ball and he has been dominant at home. He comes in with an ERA of just 1.57 in this ballpark and we’ve seen Toronto just struggle as a whole offensively this season. Look for him to set the tone early and he’ll work deep into this game. The Jays are just 5-12 on the road and this is a great spot to fade them. My daily free plays are meant to be cheap bankroll plays. Remember folks, money management is the key to profits when it comes to sports gambling. Strong lean on the M's ML tonight. You know what to do. Hop ON! Good Luck, Razor Ray.

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