NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Chiefs vs. Bucs
Chiefs
-3 -130
  at  BETONLINE
in 8h

The set-up: The Chiefs held on for a 35-31 win over the Raiders last weekend and I think they'll find a way to cover on the road here again against the inconsistent Bucs. Tampa enters off a 27-24 loss to the Rams at home. KC comes to town on top form, having won five straight. Overall the Chiefs average 32.1 PPG and it concedes 21.4. 

The picks: The Bucs average 29.1 PPG and they allow 23. Tampa though is a poor 2-9-2 ATS in its last 13 at home, while KC is 4-0 ATS in its last four vs. teams with a winning home record. Bucs' QB Tom Brady has thrown five interceptions in his last three games and KC already has ten interceptions this year. The defending champs are definitely worth a second look in this one.

This is a 1* FREE PLAY on the KC Chiefs.

NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Browns vs. Jaguars
Browns
-7 -105
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

** Sunday Featured Free Play **

The NFL Comp Play is on Cleveland at 1:00 eastern. The Jaguars are in the nasty database system below that shows how poorly dogs of more than 6 do on grass vs opponents who do well running the ball. The Jags are 0-9 to the spread at home after 2 or more turnovers and a dog loss. The Browns are 7-3 and should do well here against a shoddy Jags defense. Look for Cleveland to cover. On Sunday a massive card is up an executive Level TIER 1 Play, the Sunday night Total of the Year, a 22-1 early play, a rare 15-0 6* in later afternoon . Jump on and cash out on Sunday. For the Comp play. Go with the Browns. Rob V- GC Sports.

SU:1-41-0

ATS:7-34-1

Nov 29, 2020viewSunday122020JaguarsBrownshome7.049.5

NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Browns vs. Jaguars
Jaguars
+7½ -124
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

Scott "The Bulldog" Rickenbach NFL Rotation #258 Sunday Free Pick Jacksonville Jaguars (+) vs Cleveland Browns @ 1 ET - The Browns are 7-3 this season but getting outgained and outscored on the season. Granted the margins are small in both categories but I feel Cleveland is over-rated as a result. This is not the type of dominant team I would think of as a 7-3 team. The Browns were on an 0-4 ATS run prior to beating a bad Eagles team last week and they only beat them by 5 points. That said, I do like the big home dog value here with the Jaguars. Yes, I am aware that Jacksonville is an ugly 1-9 SU on the season and has lost 9 straight games SU. However, this team had covered back to back games before getting beat bad by Pittsburgh last week. That was a turnover-fueled loss for the Jaguars. Now the Jags are back home again for a 2nd straight week and I expect them to be much better than they were last week against a Steelers team that is 10-0 on the season. Keep in mind, the Browns lost by 31 when they faced Pittsburgh. This is simply not a great Cleveland team and their last 3 wins have all been by a margin of 5 or less points. I believe this one will too...that is, if the Browns even win! I am grabbing the generous points here. Free Pick JACKSONVILLE

ASA
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Titans vs. Colts
Titans
+3 +100
  at  YOUWAGER
in 4h

#261 ASA FREE PLAY ON Tennessee +3 over Indianapolis, Sunday at 1:00 PM ET - These same two AFC South rivals recently squared off in Tennessee on a Thursday night prime time game with the Colts prevailing 34-17 as a 1-point favorite. Obviously, in these current times, home field really doesn’t equate to much other than travel so the move to minus -3 here is more of an adjustment than we expected.  In the previous meeting the Titans were reeling a bit with losses in two of three games but are now coming off an emotionally lifting win over the Ravens. On the other hand, the Colts are off a very big win over the Packers, a game in which they trailed by 14-points going into the third quarter but rallied for the OT win.  This is a HUGE game in deciding the AFC South with both teams 7-3 but the Colts holding the tie breaker with the head-to-head win a few weeks back. Even when trailing and in a losing effort the Titans still churned out 150+ rushing yards against the Colts in the first meeting which is an encouraging sign here. The big difference in the first meeting was a blocked punt for a TD by the Colts in the 3rd quarter.  The biggest advantage the Titans have in this contest is the running game with Derrick Henry. Tennessee is 5th in rushing yards per game at 151 and average 4.8 yards per rush (7th). The Colts have the 3rd best rush defense in the NFL in terms of total yards as they allow just 89RYPG. But those numbers are somewhat misleading as they have only faced three top tier rushing teams this season and one of those games was against the Vikings who weren’t running the football early in the season. The other game the Colts played against a top rushing teams was versus Baltimore and they lost by two touchdowns.  The Colts are a bottom tier rushing team which puts a lot of pressure on immobile QB Rivers who is 20th in the NFL in total quarterback ratings.  They’ll be more depleted here with RB Taylor just put on the Covid list and will not play.  Historical support shows us the visitor has covered 4 straight in this series. Also, since 2000, teams that meet within two weeks of their first meeting, the loser of the first clash is 17-7-1 ATS in the second showdown. We love the rushing angle and the dog playing with revenge. Play Tennessee.

NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Cardinals vs. Patriots
Cardinals
-2 -105
  at  BETONLINE
in 4h
Free Pick on Cardinals
NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Dolphins vs. Jets
Jets
+7 -120
  at  WMHILL
in 4h

My free play is on the NYJ at 1:00 ET.

The Miami Dolphins had their five-game winning streak snapped with a 20-13 loss in Denver last Sunday but look (expect?) to get back on track Sunday at MetLife Stadium when they face the 0-10 NY Jets, The Jets have lost 10 straight games in the same season for the first time in club history and they are two losses from matching their longest losing streak ever, a 12-game skid that bridged the 1995-96 seasons. The two AFC East rivals met in Miami back on Oct 24, with the Dolphins winning 24-0.

Tua Tagovailoa was sacked SIX times last Sunday before being benched in favor of Ryan Fitzpatrick, who started against the Jets the last time the teams met. Tagovailoa came in late during that game and has been Miami's starter since. However, Tagovailoa injured the thumb on his throwing hand in practice during the week. He was originally downgraded from questionable to doubtful for Sunday's game but on Saturday afternoon, the Jets said that veteran Ryan Fitzpatrick would start. He was completing 69.8% when he was benched with 10 TDs and eight INTs. Miami owns an awful running game, averaging 94.4 YPG (30th), with Myles Gaskins (despite playing in only seven games) leading the team with 387 yards on 3.9 YPC with two TDs. He also has 30 catches, second-most on the team. WR Parker leads with 44 catches and four TDs, while TE Gesicki has 28 receptions (14.8 YPC) with two TDs. Interestingly, while the offense is averaging just 308.6 YPG (29th), the Dolphins are averaging 26.5 PPG (14th). The defense allows 380.6 YPG (21st) but allows a surprisingly low 26.4 PPG (4th).

The Jets also have a change at QB, as Sam Darnold is healthy enough to start, after missing two games with an injured right shoulder. The Jets run the ball no better than the Dolphins, averaging 98.6 YPG on the ground (25th). Leading the way is Frank Gore (447 yards), who is closing in being 100-years-old. However, the real good news is that this game will mark the first time this season Darnold would take the field with all three of his starting WRs, Jamison Crowder, Breshad Perriman and Denzel Mims. The Jets enter the game last in scoring (14.9 PPG) and in total offense (268.6 YPG). Then there is a defense that allows 30.2 PPG (31st) on 400.0 YPG (28th).

Fitzpatrick was NONE too happy about being benched and the Jets defense may give him every opportunity to deliver a "big game" but Darnold should love the fact that his WR starters are back and let's NOT ignore that while the Jets have continued to lose, they have scored 27 and 28 points in their last two games. It's also noteworthy that they've covered THREE of their last four, as well. Take the points!

Good luck...Larry

NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Giants vs. Bengals
Giants
-6 -110
  at  JAZZ
in 4h

Sunday NFL Free play. My selection is on New York minus the points over Cincinnati at 1 pm et on Sunday.

This situation sets up nicely for the Giants as they look to take hold of a truly awful NFC East division. Cincinnati of course lost its best player to a season-ending injury last week with super rookie QB Joe Burrow going down. That leaves this week's game in the hands of practice squad QB Brandon Allen. My bigger concern with the Bengals is their defense, which hasn't shown any semblance of a pass rush nor has it been able to slow opposing ground attacks, allowing over five yards per rush. Giants QB Daniel Jones has shown some signs of career progression this season, even if it has been in baby steps. He has a relatively healthy supporting cast right now (outside of RB Saquon Barkley of course) and should feast on a bottom-tier Bengals defense here. I'll plug my nose and lay the points with the G-Men here. Take New York (8*).

Sean is already off to a PERFECT start in NFL action this week after cashing the HOU-DET over and HOU (free play) on Thursday! He's ready to extend his AWESOME 26-10 NFL big ticket run with THREE 10* winners on Sunday, keyed by TWO big ticket releases! Your best bet is a weekly or monthly subscription package, giving you access to ALL of Murph's winners every day!

NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Panthers vs. Vikings
Vikings
-3 -104
  at  DRAFTKINGS
in 4h

Panthers vs Vikings Free Pick November 29, 2020

The Minnesota Vikings had held opponents to an average of 18.3 points per game prior to a 31-28 loss to Dallas last time out. This looks like a good opportunity for their defense to get back on track, facing a Carolina team with a bruised up QB in Teddy Bridgewater and it's all-pro running back Christian McCaffrey (shoulder) ruled out. 

The Panthers snapped a five-game losing streak with a shut win over Detroit last week, but that kind of defensive performance has not been the norm this season. The team ranks 19th in total defense and 21st for points allowed, and note that the Vikes have scored at least 28 points in six straight games. 

Vikings are 38-13 ATS in their last 51 games following a straight-up loss and 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Panthers are 2-6 ATS vs. a team with a losing record.

Free pick on Minnesota Vikings. 

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NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Dolphins vs. Jets
Jets
+7 -115
  at  YOUWAGER
in 4h

Play - New York Jets (Game 266).

Edges - Jets: 4-1 ATS at home versus winning foes … Dolphins: 2-11 ATS as division road favorites of more than three points … We recommend a 1* play on the NY Jets.  Thank you and good luck as always.

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NFL  |  Nov 29, 2020
Dolphins vs. Jets
Jets
+7 -107
  at  PINNACLE
in 4h

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Miami at New York Jets 1:00 ET

Jets (+) over Dolphins- The Dolphins have been using laser beams that the shoot into opponents eyes to confuse them...that's about the only way to explain where they are at 6-4 and playoff bound. I know the Jets (0-10) are terrible but they're effort is still there as they have 'covered' their last two against New England who the should have beaten and the Chargers last week. New York will get Sam Darnold back for this one and I don't know if that will help or not be the Jets will fight every minute for a win. Tua Tua Tua has been mediocre at best but very functional as Miami offense ranks 329h as they average 297 yards a game. The Jets offense is dead last scoring just 14.9 points and last in passing yards at 170 a game. But, those passing yards should improve with Darnold's return. I can't help but believe that Miami is that much better than they are now rated as they are still 8-20 ATS on field turf. New York is 5-2 ATS in their last seven as home dogs. Take the J-E-T-S!