Free College Football Picks

 College football week 3 action kicks off under the lights tonight as Arizona State takes on Texas State in a non-conference clash. Arizona State's tough scheduling disadvantage will work against them here on Thursday night. Arizona State is coming off a short week after a grueling win over Mississippi State, giving Texas State a potential edge at home. The line has gravitated toward that as this is now a pick'em game. As for me, I'm looking at taking the UNDER here tonight. Both teams should focus on their ground attack and with ASU coming off that short week after a tough win they won't be looking to run and gun here tonight. Your free play is on the UNDER.

Dave's Saturday Free Play:

1* on North Texas +9.5

The Key: The Texas Tech Red Raiders are dealing with as many injuries as any team in the country right now.  That largely explains their awful start to the season.  They were fortunate to beat Abilene Christian 52-51 (OT) as 31.5-point home favorites.  And they were blasted 37-16 by Washington State as 2.5-point road favorites last week.  The Red Raiders are on upset alert again this week against a North Texas team that will be looking forward to this opportunity to face a Big 12 foe from their same state.  The Mean Green went on the road and upset South Alabama 52-38 in their opener and followed it up with a 35-20 home win over Stephen F. Austin.  This Mean Green offense is loaded averaging 527 YPG and 6.9 YPP this year behind TCU transfer Chandler Morries at QB.  Morris has already thrown for 737 yards and 7 TD while also rushing for 2 TD in 2 games.  He will light up this leaky, banged up Texas Tech defense and keep the Mean Green in this game for 4 quarters.  Take North Texas.

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Jack's Free Pick Saturday: Central Michigan +19

The Illinois Fighting Illini are in a massive letdown spot.  They stormed the field following their 23-17 upset home win over ranked Kansas last weekend.  This is also a sandwich spot for them with a Friday night road game at Nebraska on deck next week.  I just don't think they'll put their best foot forward given the situation, which is going to make it tough for them to cover this 19-point spread.

We'll 'sell high' on the Fighting Illini following that upset win over Kansas that they probably didn't deserve.  They only managed 271 total yards and 14 first downs, but were +3 in turnovers.  Kansas outgained them by 56 yards and held the Fighting Ilini to just 79 rushing yards in 34 attempts for an average of 2.3 per carry. 

We'll 'buy low' on Central Michigan coming off the most misleading loss of Week 2.  The Chippewas managed to lose 52-16 to Florida International as a 3.5-point road favorite despite outgaining them by 60 yards!  They were -6 in turnovers which was the difference.

This came after a 66-10 beat down of Central Connecticut State as a 32.5-point favorite in Week 1.  Iowa transfer QB Joe Labas threw for 342 yards and 3 touchdowns in that game, but came back to throw 5 INT against FIU.  I think the truth about his talent is somewhere in between, and I'm expecting the Chippewas to put their best foot forward this week getting to play a Big Ten opponent.  

We have already seen the MAC step up against the big boys this season with Northern Illinois upsetting Notre Dame as a 28-point dog and Bowling Green nearly upsetting Penn State as a 35-point dog, and I was on both of those dogs last week.  I'm backing the Chippewas here for many of the same reasons as this is another flat spot for Illinois just like it was for Notre Dame off the Texas A&M win and Penn State off the WVU win the previous week.  Bet Central Michigan Saturday.

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1 Unit FREE PLAY on Fresno State -19

The Fresno State Bulldogs have 13 starters back this year and are a contender to win the Mountain West.  The key is returning QB Mikey Keene, who completed 67.1% of his passes with 24 TD and 10 INT last season.  Keene led the Bulldogs into Michigan and had the Wolverines on the rope late in the 4th quarter.  They came back with a 46-30 home win over a very good Sacramento State team from the FCS.  They led by 23 in the 4th quarter before taking their foot off the gas.  New Mexico State is one of the worst teams in college football this season.  They lost head coach Jerry Kill and only brought back 8 starters.  They gave an 'all in' effort last week to try and get revenge on Liberty but came up short.  That was more due to a letdown for Liberty after beating this team twice last year including in the C-USA title game than anything.  I think we get a flat effort this week from the Aggies and they get crushed by a much superior Bulldogs team.  Give me Fresno State.

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Saturday CFB Free play. My selection is on West Virginia minus the points over Pittsburgh at 3:30 pm et on Saturday.

The Backyard Brawl will take place at Acrisure Stadium in Pittsburgh on Saturday and this year's instalment features plenty of intrigue. I can't help but feel the wrong team is favored, even with Pittsburgh sporting the better record in the early going.

If you watched Pitt's come-from-behind win over Cincinnati last week you know that it really had no business winning that game. The Bearcats built a big lead and then stopped playing. I still find Cincinnati's hiring of head coach Scott Satterfield prior to last season a curious move but that's another story.

Last week's game was marred by poor quarterback play. Panthers QB Eli Holstein has shown flashes of brilliance but he's still a work-in-progress. Backfield burner Desmond Reid had to leave the game several times after getting banged-up. He can be a game-breaker but as a smallish back his durability is a question.

I'm high on the West Virginia defense in particular. This is a team that got off to a tough start to the season with a strange game against Penn State that included a long weather delay in Week 1. The Mountaineers rebounded as expected against FCS squad Albany last week, winning 49-14. I like the fact that they had a glorified scrimmage while Pitt was involved in such a hard-fought battle on the road against Cincinnati. Take West Virginia.

Free Play from Doc’s Sports. Take Under in Nevada Wolf Pack @ Minnesota Golden Gophers (3:30p.m., Saturday, September 14 BTN) We hit a free pick under last week and we will try for two in a row in this game. Nevada offense is better than last year, but it still struggles to score points on a consistent basis. Minnesota will be able to stop the run and that will mean Nevada have to move the football through the air. I do not see them having much success in that department. Minnesota ran it up last week against an FCS team, but they scored just 17 points against North Carolina in Week 1, a team that is traditionally bad on defense. I see about 40 total points being scored in this game and we will hit the under with this free play. Do not miss out on our weekend football card, featuring a top play in the NFL and a slate of winners all weekend long. Sign-up now and let Doc’s Sports and their 53 years of handicapping experience work for you.

Saturday's Free NCAAF Pick

PLAY ON: Colorado State +7