Free MLB Picks

Dave's Wednesday Free Play:

1* on Philadelphia Phillies -1.5 (-115)

The Key: The Philadelphia Phillies have won 4 consecutive games and have scored a total of 31 runs in their last 5 games for an average of 6.2 RPG.  The Detroit Tigers are 0-5 in their last 5 games overall and have scored 3 runs or fewer in 6 consecutive games.  They have a lot of injuries right now that are hampering them offensively.  Zack Wheeler will shut them down.  He has a 4.33 ERA and 1.21 WHIP in 12 starts this year, and a 3.53 ERA and 1.12 WHIP in 6 home starts.  The Phillies are 36-17 in their last 53 home games.  Philadelphia is 5-0 in its last 5 matchups with Detroit.  Take Philadelphia on the Run Line.

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1* Free Sharp Play on Angels

*All MLB picks are generated using advanced statistics and scoring models*

Jack's Free Pick Wednesday: Arizona Diamondbacks -128

The Arizona Diamondbacks are 7-2 in their last nine games overall to get to 36-25 on the season.  The Washington Nationals are 2-6 in their last eight games overall to fall to 25-35 on the season.  The Diamondbacks won Game 1 of this series 10-5 yesterday and it should be more of the same in Game 2 today.

The Diamondbacks are scoring 5.2 runs per game on the road this season while the Nationals are scoring just 3.7 runs per game at home.  The Diamondbacks should stay hot at the plate against Patrick Corbin, who has been one of the worst starters in baseball over the last three seasons.

Corbin went 9-16 with a 5.82 ERA and 1.468 WHIP in 2021 and 6-19 with a 6.31 ERA and 1.697 WHIP in 2022.  He is now 4-5 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 12 starts this season while allowing 37 earned runs and 11 homers in 67 2/3 innings.

Corbin is 0-2 with a 13.87 ERA and 2.352 WHIP in three career starts against Arizona, allowing 19 earned runs and 5 homers in 12 1/3 innings.  Zach Davies is 4-0 with a 2.97 ERA and 1.211 WHIP in six career starts against the Nationals, and his teams are 6-0 in those six starts.  Bet the Diamondbacks Wednesday.

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1* MLB - Astros/Blue Jays FREE Pick on Blue Jays -147

Wednesday's Free MLB Pick is on the Toronto Blue Jays as a -147 home favorite against the Houston Astros. Really like the Blue Jays to cash in a win in this one. Toronto has a clear-cut edge on the mound with them sending out Chris Bassitt and the Astros giving the ball to Ronel Blanco. Bassitt has a solid 3.41 ERA and 1.054 WHIP in 12 starts. He has an even better 2.16 ERA and 0.810 WHIP if you just look at his 5 home starts. Blanco will be making his second big league start. While he allowed just 2 runs in 5 1/3 innings in his first start, that was at home and he was lucky to limit the damage to just 2 runs. Blanco allowed 7 hits and gave up 3 walks in that outing. Bassitt has made one start vs the Astros this season and was great, giving up just 3 hits over 6 1/3 scoreless innings. Bet the Blue Jays -147! 

1 Unit FREE PLAY on Mariners/Padres UNDER 8

Both the San Diego Padres and Seattle Mariners have struggled offensively this season despite scoring being up.  Now each of their best starters up to this point go tonight and runs will be hard to come by again.  George Kirby is 5-4 with a 3.04 ERA and 1.01 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  He is 2-2 with a 2.34 ERA and 0.98 WHIP in five road starts as well.  Michael Wacha is 5-2 with a 3.48 ERA and 1.145 WHIP in 11 starts this season.  The UNDER is 8-0 in Padres last eight Wednesday games.  The UNDER is 11-1-1 in Padres last 12 Interleague home games.  The UNDER is 39-14-1 in Padres last 54 games overall.  Give me the UNDER.

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7* MLB Dbacks/Nationals Free Pick

PLAY ON ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS -128

I'll take my chances with the Diamondbacks as a -128 road favorite against the Nationals on Wednesday. This is just way too good a price to pass up with Arizona. The Diamondbacks won the series opener on Tuesday, improving to 7-2 over their last 9 games. Arizona will send out Zach Davies for his 5th start. Davies has one really bad outing where he gave up 5 runs in 4 1/3 innings vs the Dodgers. He's allowed just 6 ER in his 3 other starts (14 innings). Washington will counter with Pat Corbin, who is 4-5 with a 4.92 ERA and 1.478 WHIP in 12 starts. Corbin has a 5.71 ERA and 1.616 WHIP over his last 3 outings and a 6.23 ERA and 1.673 WHIP in 3 night starts. In his last 3 starts Corbin has given up 5 HR with a lousy 11/8 K/BB ratio in 17 1/3 innings. Give me the Diamondbacks -128! 

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