Vic Duke

Detroit/Bears 1:00: Lou Holtz once said, "You're never as good as everyone tells you when you win, and you're never as bad as they say when you lose."  The Bears were over-hyped in the pre-season coming off a spectacular 2018; this year, the media is ripping them a new ass and that finally brings some value back to Chicago. Trubisky overdue for a quality game and it should come here; after all, Detroit has the 30th ranked pass defense, allowed 400+ yards in 5 of 8 games this season. Bears' RB Montgomery starting to pick up his game. We'll look for Allen Robinson and RB Cohen to turn up their games a few notches here. On the other hand, Chicago still has a pretty good defense. Bears 3-1-1 ATS last 5 at home in this series and should deliver. 

Rams/Steelers 4:25: Going to be tough for fair weathered Rams to go into Heinz Field in November and grab a win. Sure, Rams have been road warriors but catching a surging Pittsburgh team that's dangerous in November (74-45 SU). Rams have a long history of struggling in November (43-71 SU) and won't have an easy time here. They're coming off wins over lightweights Atlanta and Cincinnati. Today, grinding out those points will be difficult to come by against a surging Pittsburgh defense. 

Panthers/Packers 4:25: Packers were overdue for a stinker and it hit last week at Los Angeles. Today, look for the Packers to bounce back strong in this spot. Carolina has been winning - on a 3-1 SU/ATS run but not confirmed in out-gaining opponents. They've been beaten in the stats in their last 4 games. It will be difficult for them to create turnovers and stay in this one at Lambeau Field where Rodgers and company should lock in. Carolina's defense has allowed 9 rush TDs over that stretch and that should allow RBs Aaron Jones and Jamaal Williams to get rolling. GB defense needs to step up and should turn it up a notch on Carolina's QB Allen. 

Bills/Browns 1:00: Browns have failed to cover at home (0-3 ATS) and on a dismal 0-4 ATS slide. Hard to lay points with a team in the lower echelon of the league in points scored (25th) and points allowed (23rd). Sure, the Bills have compiled a winning record against losing teams but they didn't make the schedule. And remember, Bills traded punches toe to toe with NE covering the number. Bills have the #3 defense in the NFL in terms of yielding yardage. Technically, Browns a poor 1-8 ATS in their last 8 at home vs a team with a winning road record. Bills 4-1 ATS in this series and should make a game of it.

Seahawks/49ers 8:15: Both teams have their share of weaknesses defensively and we should see them emerge tonight. Seattle's defense leaves much to be desired vs the run and through the air. Meanwhile, the 49ers' defense is rock solid but allows lots of yardage on the ground; consequently, that should ignite a Seahawks' offense that thrives on play action with Wilson. We'll look for a night with explosive plays. Seahawks 13-5 O/U in their last 18 games. They're 8-2 O/U on the road vs a team .500 or greater. SF has gone Over in 8 of their last 11 against winning teams. And this series has gone "over" in 5 of the last 7 . "Over" it is. 

Seahawks/49ers 8:15: 49ers clearly look like world beaters at 8-0; however, a closer look reveals weaknesses that Seattle can exploit. 49ers' defense, as good as it is, does allow 4.7 YPC. Seattle's offensive game starts with the run and Seattle has a deep backfield led by Chris Carson (764 yards). And up until now, the best QB the 49ers faced was the Rams' Goff - who isn't having that good of a season. Russell Wilson is playing at MVP caliber and he will show up in Prime Time just like the Prime Time king of coaches - Pete Carroll. And remember, the 49ers' best tackler LB Kwon Alexander (out) will not play; moreover, offensively, SF most likely will be without Garoppolo's favorite target - TE Kittle (knee/ankle). Carroll 10-1 ATS as a dog vs .500 or greater division opponent. And SF has been a money burner off a bye at 0-8 ATS. I like those numbers!