Vic Duke

Jaguars/Eagles 1:00: Eagles playing lights out ball with an explosive offense and suffocating defense. At the same time, Jaguars overachieving under HC Doug Pederson. We'll take the points with the Jags as Pederson visits his old stomping grounds in which he brought the city its only Super Bowl ring. Jaguars are running the ball effectively behind a much-improved line as James Robinson and Etienne are off to a good start. And Trevor Lawrence (Offensive Player of the Week) is playing with decisiveness locating receivers. On the other hand, Jaguars' opportunistic defense (8 takeaways) has the #1 run stop unit in the NFL allowing just 55 YPG. They'll put to test Jalen Hurts and company today. Eagles should run into trouble in this spot: They're 0-4 ATS as a .500 or greater team vs a greater than .500 opponent, 0-6 ATS at home vs non division opponent off a SU dog win, 3-9-1 ATS in Week 4, and 4-11-1 ATS off an ATS win. We'll take the points. 

Browns/Falcons 1:00: These teams are a combined 6-0 O/U this season. We won't fear the higher than normal 'total' for this series and go "over". Falcons' defense most likely won't have an answer to stop the #1 rush offense in the NFL. And Atlanta's secondary leaves a lot to be desired; consequently, efficient pass Brissett should be able to guide the Browns' offense in the end zone often. The Falcons have given up a generous 27 PPG but they have 7 takeaways - which translate into points. On the other hand, Browns' defense missing key bookends - Garrett and Clowney. That's significant for giving Mariota a second more in the pocket to hook up with his array of weapons including Drake London, Patterson and Pitts. Browns' defense has been yielding - allowing 24 PPG. These teams are collectively 13-5 O/U in Week 4. "Over" it is!

Washington/Dallas 1:00: I don't see a falloff in production from the Cowboys, despite coming off a Monday game. Mccarthy a solid 5-1 ATS off back-to-back SU wins vs a less than .500 opponent. Dallas is 4-0 ATS in October and 6-0 ATS vs less than .500 foes. They've dominated the NFC East to the tune of 21-7 ATS. Dec 26th of last year, the Cowboys destroyed Washington 56-14 in this stadium. Cooper Rush (3-0 SU/ATS as a starter) has been solid in his decision making and he's getting time from his offensive line. On the other hand, Wentz has already been sacked 6X. That's bad news as the Cowboys' pass rush has been brutal on QBs thus far (averaging 4.3 sacks per game). Parsons has been virtually unstoppable pressing and sacking QBs. And Washington's tattered offensive line has two linemen - Leno (shoulder) and Schweitzer (concussion) that most likely won't play. And not liking the Washington defense which has been unable to stop anybody this season. In October, Cowboys 9-2 ATS at home vs an opponent off SU/ATS loss. Dallas the call. 

Titans/Colts 1:00: Road team in this series 6-1 ATS. We get good value with the Titans coming off a big win. They got Derrick Henry going for 143 rush yards vs LV and Tannehill was working the play action nice. We'll look for that winning formula here. So far, Burks has been a solid draft choice to replace departed A.J. Brown. Fortunately, Bud Dupree (hip) returns this week to add to that all important edge rush; after all, QB Matt Ryan has been sacked 4X a game this season. On the defensive end, Titans need to shore up the run defense vs the explosive Jonathon Taylor. Vrabel usually gets his guys up for division foes and has had success vs Indy, especially in Indianapolis at 4-1 ATS. Colts a troubling 1-8 ATS as a favorite of less than 11 points in the second of back-to-back home games vs a less than .500 opponent. We'll look for Tennessee to go to 5-0 ATS in October. 

Seahawks/Lions 1:00: Tale of two teams with contrasting health issues. Detroit will most likely be without two impact players: RB D'Andre Swift and WR Amon-Ra St. Brown. Moreover, solid receiver DJ Chark will not play along with LG Jackson. Meanwhile, Seahawks are deep in the secondary, and have former #1 draft choice DE Collier off the IR and active. Most receivers are healthy and a deep backfield of Penny, Walker III and Dallas. QB Geno Smith, who sports a 77% completion percentage, should be able to let er rip a bit more to get some points on the board. Seahawks sport a 3-0 ATS mark in this series including the 51-29 route in Seattle last year. Detroit HC Campbell a good motivator and his guys love him, but game management questionable as he let another close game slip away last week. As for Seattle, Pete Carroll a sweet 12-2 ATS off back-to-back losses. Seahawks the call.