Ross Benjamin

Cubs (Stroman) @ Padres (Weathers) 5:30 PM ET

Game# 957-958

Play On: Cubs -102 (5*)

San Diego left-hander Ryan Weathers has displayed poor form over his last 3 starts with a 6.32 ERA/1.66 WHIP. Weathers has made 3 career starts versus the Cubs with all coming since 2021 and he posted a terrible 7.24 ERA/1.76 WHIP. Weathers is also 0-6 in his team starts since 2021 when facing a team like the Cubs with a win percentage of .380 to .460. Weathers will be facing the Cubs today who are 10-6 versus lefty starters while averaging 5.9 runs per game and smashed 22 home runs while doing so.

The Cubs Marcus Stroman has been in terrific form over his last 3 starts with a 1.17 ERA/0.57 WHIP and averaged a sizable 7.7 innings pitched per outing. Stroman is also 4-0 in his career team starts versus San Diego with a stellar 2.19 ERA.

Give me the Chicago Cubs on the money line.

Braves (Sroka) @ Diamondbacks (Gallen) 4:10 PM ET

Game# 959-960

Play On: Diamondbacks -134 (5*)

Atlanta is coming off yesterday’s win at Arizona. The Braves are 1-5 in their last 6 following a win. As a matter of fact, after a blistering hot 25-11 start to the season. However, they’ve gone just 9-13 in their last 22 games.

Zac Gallen is a perfect 6-0 in his home team starts in 2023 with a dominating 0.66 ERA/0.73 WHIP while averaging a healthy 6.8 innings pitched per start. Yesterday’s loss to Atlanta snapped a 6-game Arizona win streak. The Diamondbacks are 8-1 in their last 9 at home versus National League teams. The Arizona bullpen has a shiny 2.11 ERA while striking out 25 batters and walking just 5 in their last 7 games. The Diamondbacks are also 14-7 in days games and 25-14 when facing right-handed starting pitchers.

Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line.

Orioles (Wells) @ Giants (DeSclafani) 4:05 PM ET

Game# 977-978

Play On: Giants +100 (5*)

Tyler Wells has a 5.49 ERA in 4 road starts this seasoan and allowed an alarmingly high 8 home runs in 21 1/3 innings pitched. The Usually strong Orioles bullpen has struggled over their last 7 games with a staff 6.15 ERA/1.82 WHIP. Since 2021, the Orioles have gone an abysmal 10-48 when their bullpen recorded a 6.50 ERA or worse in their last 5 games.

Anthony DeSclafani has a brilliant 1.97 ERA/0.72 WHIP in 5 starts versus American League teams this season. The Giants bullpen has a terrific 1.11 ERA/0.82 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The Giants are an extremely profitable 18-9 this season when their money line is -125 to +125.

Give me the San Francisco Giants on the money line.

Heat @ Nuggets 8:00 PM ET

Game# 515-516

Play On: Heat +8.5 (5*)

The Heat barely missed covering in Game 1 despite attempting only 2 free throws and shooting a miserable 40.6% from the field. Miami amassed 96 field goal attempts in that opening game loss and that’s significant. The Heat are 11-1 SU this season after attempting 93 or more field goal attempts during regulation time in their previous game. That improves to 6-0 SU if they lost that previous game, and they outscored those 6 opponents by an average of 8.5 points per contest. Those SU results take on added betting value when considering Miami is currently an 8.5-point underdog in Game 2. Furthermore, Miami has gone 4-0 SU in their last 4 this postseason following a game in which they shot 45.7% or worse. As a matter of fact, they shot a red-hot 52.7% in those 4 wins. Miami was just 13-39 from 3-point territory in Game 1. Nevertheless, they finished that contest 7-15 from beyond the 3-point line after starting the contest 6-24.

Give me the Miami Heat plus points.

Royals (Hernandez) @ Marlins (Garrett) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 909-910

Play On: Marlins -1.5 (+136) (5*)

Kansas City is coming off yesterday’s 2-0 home win over Colorado. The Royals are an abysmal 0-11 since the start of last season immediately after a shutout win and were outscored by a massive 4.7 runs per game.

Miami enters this series on winning runs of 3-0 and 6-2. The Marlins are also 10-2 this season versus American League teams. Braxton Garrett has been in superb form over his last 3 starts with a brilliant 1.66 ERA/0.83 WHIP while averaging 7.1 innings per outing.

Give me the Miami Marlins on the run-line.

Cardinals (Wainwright) @ Rangers (Perez) 8:05 PM ET

Game# 913-914

Play On: Rangers -134 (5*)

Adam Wainwright has been a shell of himself in 6 starts this season while recording a lofty 6.15 ERA/1.71 WHIP. He doesn’t figure to get much help from a Cardinals bullpen that’s posted an uninspiring 5.95 ERA/1.58 WHIP throughout their previous 7 games. The same came be said for Wainwright’s hope of some run support. The Cardinals are averaging a mere 2.3 runs scored per game while compiling an awful .181 team batting average over their previous 7 games. With the previously mentioned terrible statistics it comes as no surprise that the Cardinals are on 0-3 and 1-5 losing runs.

Martin Perez has encountered his fair share of struggles on the road this season. However, he has an outstanding 1.94 ERA in 3 home starts. Furthermore, since the start of last season, Texas is 15-3 versus teams with a losing record and with Martin Perez as their starting pitcher while outscoring those 18 opponents by a healthy 3.4 runs per game. The Texas bullpen has a shiny staff 2.49 ERA/1.07 WHIP in their last 7 games. Texas is coming off a 3-game sweep of division rival Seattle in which they outscored the Mariners. As a matter of fact, during those previous 2 wins they scored 28 runs and pounded out 34 hits.

Any team like Texas who’s playing in an Interleague game and is coming off a 3-game sweep of a division opponent, resulted in those teams going 41-11 (78.8%) since 2019, and they averaged outscoring those opponents by a sizable 2.5 runs per game.

Give me the Texas Rangers as a money line favorite.

Tigers (Wentz) @ Phillies (Nola) 6:40 PM ET

Game# 907-908

Play On: Phillies -1.5 (-113) (5*)

The Tigers Joey Wentz has been in terrible form over his last 4 starts with a 10.38 ERA/2.54 WHIP. The Detroit bullpen has been shaky over their last 7 games with a staff 4.97 ERA/1.77 WHIP. The Tigers have lost their last 3 and 5 of their previous 6 which includes being held scoreless twice. Since 2021, Detroit is an abysmal 14-44 after scoring 2 runs or less in each of their previous 2 games.

Aaron Nola is 3-0 in his home team starts this season with a 3.15 ERA/0.95 WHIP. The Phillies bullpen has been solid at home with a staff 2.49 ERA/1.21 WHIP. Philadelphia has averaged 7.3 runs scored and 12.0 hits per game over their last 3 outings.

Give me the Philadelphia Phillies as a money line favorite.