Michael Alexander

Rating; 2 Units

The Wildcats beat UCF by seven when the Knights had 30 points from Fulks and were fully fresh — with UCF coming in on back-to-back days after an overtime game and Arizona near full strength, the conditions favor a larger separation than the January margin produced. The spread moved a full point in Arizona's direction on near-unanimous sharp money, confirming the market agrees.

Rating: 2 Units

The Huskies have already covered a number larger than this twice against Xavier this season, the line has moved further in their favor since opening on 100% UConn early money, and the matchup profile that produced those blowouts — elite rebounding, defensive efficiency, and ball movement — is fully intact entering Thursday. The spread is not inflated; it reflects the real competitive gap between these rosters.

Rating: 2 Units

These teams last saw each other quite recently, in an 82-73 home loss for the Cyclones on February 28. In that one Iowa State didn’t shoot well (39 percent); Texas Tech did (58.5 percent). The Cyclones were also outmuscled on the boards 34-26 and outscored in the paint 30-24. Texas Tech is going to be a tough customer in the rematch

Rating: 4 Units

San Jose comes into this matchup on a three game losing streak, but two of those losses came in overtime. The Sharks are 13-16-1 on the road this year, while the Bruins are 25-8-1 at home. Boston has alternated wins and losses over their last eight games, which means they are due for a loss if that trend continues. The Bruins have gone to overtime in two straight games and they have allowed two goals or fewer in three of their last five. This should be a pretty good game, but Boston has been elite at home. Take the Bruins here.

Rating: 4 Units

The Blues won their previous meeting against the Hurricanes this season by 3-0 at home, but the Hurricanes are 6-2 in their 8 meetings before that. In this Blues vs Hurricanes Prediction, the Hurricanes are coming as -280 home favorites. The Hurricanes have been the better team this season and they are one of the best home teams in the league, while the Blues have been struggling on the road. Carolina is also red-hot lately with an 8-2 record in its last 10 games, while the Blues came back to earth after an impressive four-game road winning streak. Last season the Canes won easily 4-1 at home against the Blues and I don’t expect them to have much trouble again today. Take the Hurricanes on the puckline in this one.

Rating: 4 Units

Each of the Predators’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total goals line. Ten of the Kraken’s last 12 home games against Western Conference opponents have gone UNDER the total goals line.

Rating; 4 Units

The Capitals have been a mess over the last week, where the offense hasn’t been able to break through. They now go on the road and play one of the hottest teams in the league. We’ve been backing the Sabres a lot during this stretch and they keep blessing us with cashed tickets. No reason to stop now, as the Sabres are chasing the top seed in the East. Give me the Sabres and the PL for max betting value.

Rating: 4 Units

The Wizards are still missing some players with Cam Whitmore, Kyshawn George and Anthony Davis ruled out with Bub Carrington listed as questionable, while the Magic have ruled out Franz Wagner and Anthony Black once again. These teams met just over a week ago on Mar 3 and it was the Magic who rolled to a 126-109 home win. The Wizards will be eager to bounce back from their last performance, where they got stung by the Heat’s Adebayo, but I don’t see them having much success against the Magic, who are just on a roll right now. The line is certainly hefty, but I think the Magic get the comfortable win and cover once again.

Rating: 4 Units

The Nets have ruled out Egor Demin, Michael Porter Jr., Day’Ron Sharpe and Nolan Traore, with Ziaire Williams listed as questionable, while the Hawks are keeping an eye on Dyson Daniels and Jonathan Kuminga, who are both currently listed as questionable. These teams have already met twice this season, with the Hawks winning on both occasions and I expect that trend to continue in this one. The Hawks have opened as heavy favorites at home but I thought the line would be higher considering that the Nets are resting Porter Jr. for this one. The Hawks are in a groove right now and I think they get off to a quick start and cruise to a comfortable win and cover at home in this spot.

Rating: 4 Units

The 76ers are still missing Tyrese Maxey and Joel Embiid, with Adem Bona listed as questionable, while the Pistons have ruled out Ausar Thompson with a right ankle sprain and they are keeping an eye on Caris LeVert, who is currently listed as doubtful with a wrist sprain. These teams have already clashed twice this season, with the Pistons winning on both occasions by single digits, but the 76ers are just so banged up this time round, so I can’t picture anything but a comfortable blowout win for the Pistons in this spot if they play anything like they did in their last game.