Matt Fargo

This is a play on the SAN DIEGO PADRES for our National League Game of the Month. San Diego had a three-game winning streak snapped with a 6-2 loss on Thursday as Joe Musgrove suffered his first loss of the season after an 8-0 start. The Padres have fallen into second place in the National League West, a game behind the Dodgers and head into Game Two of this series with a 20-14 record at home. The offense has been up and down this season but the pitching remains consistent despite the Thursday result as they have a 3.14 ERA at home. MacKenkie Gore got off to a great start with a 1.50 ERA over his first nine starts but has been lit up over his last two outings, allowing 14 runs against the Rockies and we can expect a big bounce back here. The Padres are 18-6 in their last 24 games after allowing five runs or more in their previous game. The Phillies snapped a three-game slide with the victory last night and the offense has struggled, averaging 2.6 rpg over the last four games. They are now a game over .500 on the road which is very respectable after losing 12 of 16 games that led to a manager change but are in a contrarian situation tonight. Aaron Nola is a big name pitcher who was off to an average start but has posted a 0.78 ERA and 0.70 WHIP over his last three starts which is the main reason for the Phillies being road favorites on Friday. The Phillies are 5-16 in their last 21 games against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record. Here, we play against teams when the money line is +125 to -125 starting a pitcher who walked one or fewer hitters each of his last two outings going up against an opponent starting a pitcher who allowed seven or more runs last outing. This situation is 26-8 (76.5 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (958) San Diego Padres

This is a play on the TAMPA BAY LIGHTNING for our NHL Friday Breakaway. A great Game Four between Colorado and Tampa Bay ended in controversy as the Avalanche won in overtime but it was proven after that they has too many men on the ice during the game winning goal. Colorado now enjoys a 3-1 series lead with two home games remaining should the Lightning extend the series to a full seven games. We all know how tough Colorado is at home as it improved to 39-6-3-2 at home after the Game Two win and has won four straight following a pair of losses against St. Louis and this is a very similar matchup. This will be the seventh meeting this season and while Colorado has won all three at home, two were by just one goal and four of the six overall meetings were decided by a single goal, three in extra time. Many expected this series to go the distance and now it is up to the Lightning to steal a game on the road and head back home to make that happen. A positive for Tampa Bay from Game Four is that it outshot Colorado for the first time in this series and it registered its most shots on goal with 39 with equaled the amount from the first two games in Colorado combined so that is something to build on. We have backed Tampa Bay numerous times this postseason and pointed out how the experience is a big factor and never more so than here. The Lightning are 91-27 in their last 118 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Here, we play on road underdogs of +100 to +200 against the money line after having lost three of their last four games going up against an opponent having won eight or more of their last 10 games. This situation is 37-24 (60.7 percent) over the last five seasons. 10* (29) Tampa Bay Lightning