Handicapper Marc Lawrence’s March Madness Picks & Predictions

	Marc Lawrence
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| Mar 09, 2026 Nuggets vs Thunder	Nuggets +6½ -115 at PlayMGM	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
• Play: Denver Nuggets (Game 549) • Key advantage for the Nuggets: • 8-2 SU / 9-1 ATS after a double-digit loss, including 5-1 SU / 6-0 ATS against non-conference opponents; and 4-1 SU / 5-0 ATS on the road • 8-3 SU / 8-2-1 ATS with double revenge within the same season, including 4-0 ATS away • Key disadvantage for the Thunder: • 2-11 ATS in last thirteen games versus teams with same-season double revenge, including 0-6 SU / ATS versus teams with a .588 or higher win percentage • Conclusion: With the Nuggets coming off their worst loss of the season—a 39-point blowout—and having double revenge within the same season, and the Thunder coming off their fourth win this season over the Warriors on Saturday, we recommend a strong 3-unit play on Denver. Thank you, and good luck as always.

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| Mar 10, 2026 Wolves vs Lakers	Wolves -2½ -110 at Bovada
Play Type: Premium
• Play: Minnesota Timberwolves (Game 577) • Key advantage for the Timberwolves: • 10-2 SU / 11-1 ATS in this series with same-season revenge when they have a .625 or lower win percentage, and the Lakers have a sub-.666 win percentage, including 8-0 ATS as either a dog or a favorite of 7 or fewer points • Key disadvantage for the Lakers: • 46–70-2 ATS long-term when coming off a SU underdog win with same-season revenge • Conclusion: With the Timberwolves coming off a 27-point home loss as a 9-point favorite, and the Lakers coming off a 13-point outright win as a home underdog, we recommend a strong 3-unit play on Minnesota. Thank you, and good luck as always.

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS

SERVICE BIO
In addition to being on the faculty at Sports Data University, Marc writes a weekly NFL column for the USA TODAY Sports Weekly, and has authored hundreds of articles on the art and science of sports handicapping. He publishes the PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine and the weekly PLAYBOOK newsletter during the football and basketball seasons. In his over 40 years as a professional sports handicapper Marc has won over 500 documented Top 10 handicapping achievement awards, more than anyone in the nation. He hosts the Marc Lawrence Against The Spread podcast. Marc won the 2005 STARDUST INVITATIONAL Football Contest and is a two-time WISE GUYS CONTEST champion. Thanks to his powerful sports database, Marc's technical approach to sports handicapping strongly adheres to the theory of 'cause and effect' that the farther back you can look the farther forward you can see. Applying these findings to statistical and fundamental matchups makes for a solid handicap, and by applying 'value' to the handicap we learn become winners. And winning, in the long run, is what handicapping all about.

In addition to being on the faculty at Sports Data University, Marc writes a weekly NFL column for the USA TODAY Sports Weekly, and has authored hundreds of articles on the art and science of sports handicapping. He publishes the PLAYBOOK Football Preview Guide magazine and the weekly PLAYBOOK newsletter during the football and basketball seasons.

In his over 40 years as a professional sports handicapper Marc has won over 500 documented Top 10 handicapping achievement awards, more than anyone in the nation. He hosts the Marc Lawrence Against The Spread podcast. Marc won the 2005 STARDUST INVITATIONAL Football Contest and is a two-time WISE GUYS CONTEST champion.

Thanks to his powerful sports database, Marc's technical approach to sports handicapping strongly adheres to the theory of 'cause and effect' that the farther back you can look the farther forward you can see. Applying these findings to statistical and fundamental matchups makes for a solid handicap, and by applying 'value' to the handicap we learn become winners. And winning, in the long run, is what handicapping all about.

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