Jack Jones

Jack's Free Pick Sunday: Los Angeles Dodgers -128

I'm fully expecting the Dodgers to sweep the Philadelphia Phillies today and get their revenge after dropping three of four to them in Los Angeles from May 12-15.  They haven't lost since as they have won seven consecutive games while scoring at least four runs in all seven victories.

The Dodgers have the clear advantage on the mound today behind Tony Gonsolin, who is 4-0 with a 1.64 ERA and 1.030 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Gonsolin will be up against a Phillies team that has gone 1-5 in their last six games overall while averaging just 2.0 runs per game during this stretch.

Zach Eflin is 1-3 with a 4.50 ERA in six starts for the Phillies this season.  Eflin has never beaten the Dodgers, going 0-3 with an 8.78 ERA and 1.662 WHIP in six career starts against them.  His teams are 0-6 in those six starts having never won.  Bet the Dodgers Sunday.

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15* NL PLAY OF THE DAY on San Francisco Giants -131

The San Francisco Giants will be highly motivated for a victory Sunday.  They have lost three straight and the first two games of this series to the San Diego Padres by a single run each.  They'll be motivated to avoid the sweep against their hated NL West rivals, and I expect them to get the job done.

Mackenzie Gore is getting too much respect for the Padres.  He has faced such an easy schedule which is why is numbers are so good.  Gore has faced the Reds (twice), Cubs, Guardians and Braves which are four of the worst offenses in all of baseball.  This will be his toughest test to date, especially against a Giants team that is scoring 5.5 runs per game against left-handed starters this season.

Alex Wood continues to get it done at a high rate for the Giants, going 3-2 with a 3.93 ERA in seven starts this season.  And consider Wood has faced the much tougher competition.  He is 4-2 with a 3.19 ERA and 1.185 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Padres as well.

The Giants are 61-29 in their last 90 games as home favorites.  San Francisco is 4-1 in its last five games after losing the first two games of a series.  The Giants are 4-1 in their last five games vs. a left-handed starter.  Roll with the Giants Sunday.

20* MLB Sunday No-Doubt Rout on Tampa Bay Rays -1.5 (-109)

Death, taxes and the Tampa Bay Rays owning the Baltimore Orioles.  The Rays are 28-3 in the last 31 meetings with 22 wins by two runs or more.  It will be more of the same today with the Rays winning in a blowout due to their big advantage on the mound, at the plate and in the bullpen.

Corey Kluber is 1-2 with a 4.29 ERA and 1.205 WHIP in seven starts this season.  Kluber is 5-1 with a 2.94 ERA and 1.151 WHIP in 11 career starts against the Orioles.  He pitched 4 2/3 shutout innings in an 8-0 victory over the Orioles in his lone start against them this season.

Spenser Watkins is 0-1 with a 5.10 ERA and 1.599 WHIP in seven starts this season for Baltimore.  Watkins is 1-3 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.524 WHIP in four career starts against the Tampa Bay.  He has lost three straight starts to the Rays by 4 runs or more while allowing 14 earned runs in 15 innings.  Take the Rays on the Run Line Sunday.

25* NBA Conference Finals GAME OF THE YEAR on Dallas Mavericks -2

The Zig Zag theory in the NBA playoffs hasn't really worked for years.  However, it has been pretty good in the Conference Finals in recent years going 15-7 SU & 16-5-1 ATS in the last 22 instances.  Teams are much better in this round and fighting to make the NBA Finals, so they tend to be pretty evenly matched.  And this series with Dallas and Golden State is definitely evenly matched.

I love the spot for the Mavericks Sunday.  Their season is on the line as they are down 0-2.  They didn't show up in Game 1, but they fought hard in Game 2 and showed they could play with the Warriors.  Golden State was just unconscious in the 2nd half and the Mavericks went cold.

Dallas has been much better at home than on the road in the playoffs as their role players have really stepped up to help out Luka Doncic.  Indeed, the Mavericks are 5-0 SU & 5-0 ATS in their last five home games while winning those five games by an average of 15.4 points per game.  Dallas is 34-13 SU at home this season as well.

The Warriors are 0-4 ATS in their last four road games.  Golden State is 0-5 ATS in its last five road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.  Dallas is 10-1 ATS in its last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.  The Mavericks are 25-10 ATS in their last 35 home games.  Bet the Mavericks in Game 3 Sunday.