Brandon Lee

40* LOYOLA MARYMOUNT/MINNESOTA NCAAB STEAMROLLER (Loyola Marymount +14) 

This is an interesting situation that I feel presents some value with the underdog. Minnesota and Loyola Marymount will be playing against each other for the second time in 3 days, as these two played each other on Friday at Minnesota. There's a Covid rule with the state that only allows the Gophers to play one opponent at home over a 3-day stretch, so that's why they are playing the Lions again. 

This situation presents itself in the NBA and there's usually value with the team who lost the first meeting. It makes sense. It will be tough for Minnesota to get up for this game having already beat this same team a couple days ago. As for Loyola, they should be fired up for this one. The Lions more than proved to themselves that they can hang with this Gophers team. They only lost by 15 and that was with Minnesota shooting over 50% from behind the 3-point line and Loyola -8 in the turnover department. Give me the Lions +14! 

50* TEXAS ST/MISSISSIPPI ST NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Miss St -6.5)

I think we are getting an exceptional price here on the Bulldogs as a single-digit favorite against the Bobcats. Mississippi State comes in 0-2 SU and 0-2 ATS, which has definitely created this buy-low spot. I was on Clemson in their opening loss and wasn't shocked they fell to Liberty, who has shown on multiple occasions it can hang with the middle of the pack in the Power 5. 

It's also important to note that while Mississippi State lost and failed to cover in each of their first two, they were in both of those games and could easily be 2-0. Texas State has played no body. If anything there's reason to be pessimistic with them only beating Texas A&M CC by just 12 points. I look for the size and athleticism of the Bulldogs to be too much for the Bobcats to handle. Give me Mississippi State -6.5!

40* ST. JOHN'S/BC NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Boston College PK)

I think we are getting a great price here with Boston College at only a pick'em against St. John's. The Red Storm are 2-0, but have been far from impressive with a mere 76-75 win over St. Peter's and a 82-65 win against La Salle. Both of which rank outside the Top 150 for me. 

BC is a team I had my eye on coming into this year and while they are just 1-1 to start, they have looked the part of a team on the rise. The Eagles gave Villanova all they could handle before eventually losing by 9 (67-76). They put that loss behind them and the very next day beat a good Rhode Island team 69-64. 

I also think turnovers could play a big role in this one. St John's has not taken great care of the ball, as they are averaging 18 turnovers/game. A mark that's high given the talent they have played. Eagles only average 12.5 turnovers. Give me the Eagles PK! 

PICK - Indiana/Providence UNDER 143
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 844

I'm going to take my chances with the UNDER 143 in today's enticing afternoon matchup on the college hardwood, which has Indiana taking on Providence. The game will be played on a neutral court in Asheville, NC at the Harrah's Cherokee Center. 

Neutral courts typically lead to lower-scoring games, as both teams are adjusting to a new environment. Providence is 17-7 (71%) to the UNDER in 24 neutral court games with a total of 140 to 149.5 under head coach Cooley. UNDER is also 13-5-1 (72%) in Friars last 19 neutral site games as a dog. 

UNDER is 11-3-1 (79%) in Indiana's last 15 vs a good team that has won 60% or more f their games (I'm pretty confident Friars will win at least 60% this year) and 8-2 in their last 10 off a win. 

Hoosiers were 26th last year in Adjusted Defense and 206 in pace of play. Providence was 27th in adjusted defense and 171 in pace. Give me the UNDER 143! 

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50* SEAHAWKS/EAGLES NFL *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (OVER 48.5) 

I wanted to take Seattle, but I just don't feel like laying a touchdown on the road with this Seahawks team. Seattle has lost each of their last 3 road games, two of which they went off as the favorite. 

The good news is, I see a ton of value with the OVER at less than 50. In Seattle's 5 road games 4 have seen a combined score of at least 54 points with 3 going for 63 or more. Only exception was at LA vs the Rams. 

It's a combination of how great this Seahawks offense is and how poor the defense has been. There's so much talent across the board with the Seattle offense and I just feel this Eagles defense is better suited to stop the run. 

I know Wentz has been awful and there's talk that Hurts is going to get a long look, I think they can get something going here at home against this Seattle defense. Seattle is giving up 30.4 ppg, 450 ypg and 6.5 yards/play on the road this season. Give me the OVER 48.5!

50* UNC/STANFORD NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Over 143.5)

I'm confident we are going to get a shootout in Tuesday's matchup between North Carolina and Stanford. The Tar Heels come in ranked No. 14 and have looked impressive early on on the offensive side of the ball. As you would expect, UNC wants to play fast and use all that athleticism to their advantage.

I got a feeling the Cardinal will be happy to play up-tempo. They just put up 82 points on Alabama and not many like to play at the frantic pace of the Crimson Tide. Only reason that game didn't get into the 150's was Alabama shot 7 of 29 from deep. I would be shocked if both teams don't eclipse 70 points. This total should be closer to 150. Give me the OVER 143.5! 

40* S DAKOTA/NEBRASKA NCAAB NO-BRAINER (Nebraska -13) 

I believe we are getting quite the discount with Nebraska. While Cornhusker fans are still waiting on football head coach Scott Frost to make them relevant again, I think we could be in for a breakout year for Nebraska under second year head coach Fred Hoiberg. 

As he did in his time with Iowa State, Hoiberg has hit the transfer portal extremely hard for a quick fix. I know it's early, but it looks like he's worked his magic in Lincoln. Dalano Banton (WKU), Teddy Allen (W Virginia), Lat Mayen (TCU), Trey McGowens (Pitt), Shamiel Stevenson (Pitt) and Kobe Webster (W Illinois) are the new faces. Banton, Allen and Webster all scored in double figures of their loss to Nevada. 

That game against the Wolf Pack really showed me something. I see no reason why Nebraska can't have their way with South Dakota, who in it's first two games have lost by 23 to Colorado and by 16 to Drake. Coyotes have really struggled to score and that doesn't figure to change in this one. Give me Nebraska -13! 

40* OKLAHOMA ST/MARQUETTE NCAAB SHARP STAKE (OVER 147.5) 

Both of these teams want to run and gun. Oklahoma State is averaging 80.0 ppg and are attempting 24 3-point shots/game, making an average of 8. Marquette is at 87.0 ppg with 22 3-point attempts and 9 makes per game. Only reason Marquette games haven't been higher scoring is they have played two dud offenses in Ark-Pine Bluff and E Illinois. Both shot worse than 28% from the field against the Golden Eagles. 

Similar story two Oklahoma State, who has played a couple of poor offenses in Texas-Arlington and Texas Southern. I just don't think either of these teams will be able to stop the other from scoring and the only reason this total isn't pushing 155 is because of the misleading defensive numbers these two have posted. Give me the OVER 147.5! 

50* TEXAS/INDIANA EARLY BIRD *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (Indiana -2) 

I cashed the UNDER in the Indiana/Providence game yesterday and I came away really impressed with what I saw out of that Hoosiers team. No one was really giving this Indiana team much respect coming into the year. Hoosiers weren't ranked and picked by many to finish in the bottom half of the Big Ten standings. 

I see a team to watch out for. Indiana did return 4 starters from a team that won 20 games. Beat a lot of good teams, just couldn't win on the road (a lot easier to do this year with no fans). They got a star Trayce Jackson-Davis and what looks like one of the more improved players in the conference in Race Thompson. This team just made a good Providence team look really bad. 

No disrespect to Texas, who I think is going to be a force in the Big 12, but I just don't know if they are as good as people think. They just barely held on to beat Davidson 78-76 and the stat that really stood out to me is they allowed the Wildcats to shoot 78% (21-27) on two-point shots. They also only blocked 1 shot. That tells me their defense is really lacking inside and that's a problem against this Indiana team. Give me the Hoosiers -2!