Brandon Lee

PICK - Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets -4.5
RATING: 30*
ROT#: 602

I will take my chances with Georgia Tech as a mere 4.5-point home favorite against Syracuse in Saturday's early action. I faded the Orange in their last game at Duke and easily cashed a winner on the Blue Devils -5 in a 85-71 blowout win. I've said it multiple times over the last month. Syracuse is a team you look to take at home and fade on the road. 

I definitely think they should be a bigger dog here against the Yellow Jackets. Georgia Tech is a team I think a lot of people don't realise just how good they are. The Yellow Jackets are 12-6 in their last 18 games with 5 of those 6 losses coming on the road to Florida St, Virginia, Duke, Louisville and Clemson. The only loss at home to Virginia. Outside of the 12-point loss to FSU in mid-December, they were in all of those defeats. 

They come into this game having won 3 straight and have covered in each of their last 4. Georgia Tech is scoring 78.8 ppg at home this season and should come close to that here with the Orange giving up 78.9 ppg on the road. I also don't love the spot for Syracuse coming off that game against Duke and having North Carolina on deck. Give me Georgia Tech -4.5! 

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40* MAVS/NETS NBA TOTAL STEAMROLLER (OVER 238.5)

I know we have had hit a bit of a rough stretch here with the OVERs in Brooklyn games, as the UNDER has cashed in 3 of their last 4, but I'm not ready to jump off the ship just yet. I think we are actually getting some decent value here, as my numbers suggest that this total should be closer to 245. 

I just think the fact that Dallas is coming off a game where they score just 97 points at Philly and the Nets off a game where they held the Magic to 92, has this total much lower than it should be. Brooklyn is still scoring at an elite level and the Mavs when right are one of the best offensive teams in the league. Key here for me is I think Porzingis will be back for Dallas, as he practiced on Friday. I also think Doncic should be able to expose Harding and Irving, as neither of those like to play defense. I see both teams in the 120s. Give me the OVER 238.5! 

40* PACERS/KNICKS NBA ATS SLAUGHTER (Pacers +1)

I think this is the perfect spot to jump on the Pacers. We are getting some exceptional value here with Indiana because of the fact that they have lost 9 of their last 13, while the Knicks come in having won 5 of their last 7. 

It's clearly not been great for Indiana of late, but I just think more than anything they haven't got some breaks in games and have had played a pretty tough schedule during their current skid. New York is clearly better than they were a season ago, but this is still a mediocre team at best. I mean their 5 wins during this 5-2 run have come against the Kings, Timberwolves, Hawks, Rockets and Wizards. 

Indiana was a 10-point home favorite against New York back on Jan. 2, which means if those two would have played in NY on that day the line would have been something like Pacers -6 or -7. I just don't think the Pacers are that much worse and the Knicks are that much better that this line should be adjusted this much. Give me Indiana +1!

40* ALABAMA/MISS ST NCAAB VEGAS INSIDER (Alabama -5.5) 

I know this is going to be a big public play, but if there's one team in the SEC that I will go down swinging with it's Alabama, especially when the Crimson Tide are coming off a loss like they are here. Alabama played about as poorly as they could in Wednesday's 66-81 setback to Arkansas. 

I'm confident Nate Oats will have this team ready to go on Saturday at Mississippi State. A team they can beat with ease if they show up with the right mindset. I just don't see the Bulldogs being able to keep pace offensively. Alabama is scoring 83.4 ppg in SEC play and Mississippi State averages a mere 66.9 ppg in conference games. Give me the Crimson Tide -5.5! 

50* FLORIDA ST/N CAROLINA NCAAB *BEST BET* TOP PLAY (North Carolina +3.5) 

I really like North Carolina as a 3.5-point home dog against Florida State. I think we are getting exceptional value with the Tar Heels because of the fact that they come into this game off an ugly loss at home to Marquette, losing by 13 as a 9.5-point favorite. While I didn't think they would lose, that wasn't a surprising result for me (I was on Marquette), as I thought that was a trap game for UNC off that huge 99-54 win against Louisville and having this huge game against FSU on deck. 

Florida State is a really good team and are currently 2-games in front in the ACC standings over Virginia, but I don't know that the Seminoles are elite. I think they are getting a little too much love in this spot. North Carolina is a team that has gotten better and better as the season has went on and simply put this game means a lot more to them than it does the Seminoles. UNC also has proven they can hang with FSU, as they lost by just 7 on the road earlier this season. Give me the Tar Heels +3.5! 

40* ILLINOIS/WISCONSIN NCAAB SHARP STAKE (Wisconsin -4) 

No way am I passing up a play on Wisconsin as a mere 4-point home favorite against Illinois with the Fighting Illini down not just their best player but one of the best players in the country in Ayo Dosunmu. I get Illinois destroyed Nebraska by 16 without Dosunmu on Thursday, but that's Nebraska. Most of the top Big Ten teams could beat the Cornhuskers by double-digits on their home floor without their best player. 

Not only that, but the Fighting Illini are playing this game at Wisconsin on just 1 day of rest and as good as the Badgers are, it will be hard for Illinois to not look ahead to Tuesday's huge road game at Michigan. As for Wisconsin, they really need a win here after going just 4-5 in their last 9. They will definitely be the fresher team, as they have been off since Sunday. I think it all adds up to not just a win but an easy win for the Badgers. Give me Wisconsin -4!