Art Aronson

1* FREE PLAY Bucs.

Both teams enter off their first loss of the year, but the Bucs were severely undermanned in their 14-12 setback to the Packers last weekend. The Chiefs just got outplayed in their 20-17 road setback at the Colts. The Bucs have one of the best defensive units in the league, allowing just nine points per game right now. I really like Patrick Mahomes, but his offense has become much more one-dimensional so far this season. I say Brady and the Bucs bounce back in this important early home contest; consider Tampa Bay!

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8* RAVENS (SPECIAL)

Buffalo is coming off its first loss of the season, falling 21-19 at Miami as a 4-point favorite. Now the Bills are a favorite again on the road and I think the oddsmakers are mistaken here. Josh Allen is playing pretty well, but LaMar Jackson is on fire. Yes, the Ravens blew a big lead to Miami two weeks ago, but Baltimore bounced back huge in last week's potentially dangerous 37-26 win over the Patriots. Let's not read too much into early season offensive and defensive numbers for either side. This one just sets up really well for the home side. I think the Bills are frustrated and a second straight road game as a favorite against a team filled with confidence is just not what the doctor ordered right now. The outright is possible, but my official call will be grab as many points as you can; the play is the Ravens!

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8* WASHINGTON (BLOCKBUSTER)

Washington comes to town hungry, looking to avoid a third straight loss. The best part aout the Commanders this year though has arguably been the play of veteran quarterback Carson Wentz. They catch a break here facing this depleted Dallas offense. Cooper Rush has been decent so far, but he's no Dak Prescott. Defensively the Cowboys have been OK as well. It's interesting to note though that Washington is 6-1-1 ATS in its last eight when allowing 350 more yards of offense in its previous game. Both teams have plenty of issues, but in a game that I see being decided by whichever of these divisional foes has it hands on the ball last, I'm grabbing the points; the play is the Commanders

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10* COLTS (AFC SOUTH GOM)

They say that divisional matchups are always the most important and that they almost always mean the most to the home side. The Titans are off their first win of the year, a tougher than expected 24-22 win over the Raiders, but I expect a predictable letdown here on the road. Ryan Tannehill had 264 yards, a TD and an INT in the win. The Colts have been playing slightly better, and then come in off their first win of the year in an impressive 20-17 home win over the Chiefs. QB Matt Ryan had his best performance so far for Indianapolis by going 27 of 37 for 222 yards and two TD's. But it's been the Titans' defense which has really struggled, allowing 28 points and 415.7 yards per game. Jonathan Taylor is going to open things up again for Ryan here at home and take advantage of his porous Titans' defensive front. The strength of the Colts is once again on the defensive end, as they're allowing a total of 322.7 yards and only 20.3 points per game. Finally note that Indy is 5-0 ATS in its last five after posting under 90 rushing yards in its previous game, while Tennessee is a disturbingly poor 7-21 ATS in its last 28 vs. teams with losing home records. The Titans' offense is more one-dimensional than ever and I see a complete lop-sided destruction here. Lay the points, the play is the Colts!

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8* FALCONS (SUPER-BLOWOUT)

Cleveland got the better of Pittsburgh by a score of 29-17 at home on Thursday night Football, but I expect the Browns to take a  step back here on the road in this non-conference matchup. Jacoby Brissett had 220 yards passing, but the Browns come to town banged up, including to Myles Garrett and four other defensive starters missed practice this week as well. Captain Anthony Walker Jr. was also lost for the season with injury. Falcons' RB Cordarelle Patterson had 141 rushing yards and a TD in his team's 27-23 win over the Hawks. QB Marcus Mariota had 223 passing yards and a TD as well. The Browns are just 2-5 in their last seven on the road and everything points to a complete collapse here. That said, grab the points; the play is Atlanta

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10* JETS (AFC GOY)

Neither team has looked very good. But I still think the Jets have a legitimate shot at winning this one outright. Both teams are 1-2. The Steelers fell 29-17 at Cleveland last weekend, as QB Mitchell Trubisky has 207 passing yards and two touchdowns. With upcoming games at Buffalo next weekend, fllowed by Tampa, Miami and Philadelphia, the Steelers will have to be super careful to not look past their lowly, but dangerous underdog opponent. The Jets lost 27-12 at home to a desperate Bengals team last week (Cincy was 0-2 at the time, and laid everything on the line to avoid the 0-3 hole.) But previous to that Joe Flacco and the Jets came from behind to beat the Browns by a score of 31-30 as 6.5-point underdogs. These teams are even more evenly matched than that this spread would suggest in my opinion. Grab the points, the play is the J-E-T-S, Jets, Jets, Jets!

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