|Alex Smart Sports - Where winning means everything. Get the bankroll expanding info the books do not want you to have.|
MLB | Sep 23, 2019
Cardinals vs Diamondbacks
-135 at sportsbook
|Play Type: Premium|
Wainwright the Cards starter tonight has allowed just two runs in his L/ 27 innings . The Cards have also won 12 of his last 14 starts including a mid July victory against Arizona, in seven scoreless innings of top tier work. The Cards hurler owns a 9-4 record along with a solid 2.56 ERA in his career against the Diamondbacks and gets my support again here tonight in the desert. Meanwhile, his pitching opponent Young has given up eight runs along with 10 hits with six walks in his last 7 2/3 innings of work in his L/2 sub par starts and looking like fade material vs a Cardinals team looking for momentum as they enter the post season .
WAINWRIGHT is 12-1 against the money line vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Cardinals are 4-1 in Wainwrights last 5 starts vs. Diamondbacks.
Cardinals are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Youngs last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record.
Play on the St.Louis Cards to win on the ML
NFL | Sep 23, 2019
Bears vs Redskins
+4 -105 at Bovada
|Play Type: Premium|
Chicago just can't move the ball, and QB Trubisky looks lost 90% of the time. The Bears were fortunate to get a win last week vs Denver, but now in a letdown situation after that lucky and emotional win,Im betting on a rocky performance especially with this being the Bears 2nd straight road game. Bottom line is the Redksins have an edge getting points at home.
WASHINGTON is 8-0 ATS after allowing 6.5 or more yards/play in their previous game over the last 3 seasons.
NFL Underdogs or pick (WASHINGTON) - poor defense from last season - allowed 335 or more total yards/game, after allowing 450 or more total yards in their previous game are 34-13 ATS L/36 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on Washington to cover
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.