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Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 14, 2025 Rays vs Mets |
Mets -130 at betonline |
Lost $130.0 |
Play Type: Free | ||
Mets starting pitcher Tylor Megill has been serviceable this season and has garnered a respectable 3.76 ERA and is backed by a bullpen that ranks second in the league with a 2.89 ERA. My projections and pitcher vs batting order power rankings suggest he matches up well here vs the visiting Rays. NY Mets in home games on the money line against AL East opponents are 10-1 L/11 dating back last season. NY Mets in home games on the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less errors/game are 15-1 L/16 overall. Advantage Mets on the ML |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
CFL | Jun 14, 2025 Saskatchewan vs Hamilton |
OVER 51½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Hamilton's defense is once again looking porous, just like they have been the last couple of seasons. . Dating back to last year, the Tiger-Cats have gone over in 14 of 19 games and in nine of their L/11 tilts.With that bad defense comes a top gun QB that can thread the needle consistently. This kind of action leads to high scoring affairs more often than not. Hamilton lost 38-26 last week, to Calgary and here against a Saskatchewan side, the scored 31 points while allowing 26 in a win last week vs Ottawa. Im betting on more fireworks today as Riders RBS and top tier receivers should shine in what should be a back and forth affair. Riders have gone over in 19 of their L30. Saskatchewan games in games where the line is +3 to -3.are 15-3 to the over since 2023 with.a combined average of 54.3 ppg. Hamilton games in non-conference games are 9-1 over with a combined average of 60.5 ppg scored. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | Jun 14, 2025 Twins vs Astros |
Astros -118 at betonline |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Astros starter Hunter Brown has recorded a 1.82 ERA with 10.6 strikeouts and 0.7 home runs allowed per nine innings so far this season and has allowed one or less runs in nine of his last 11 trips to the hill. Meanwhile J Ryan is also a vialbe pitcher but not in the same top form as Houstons hurler Brown. Add to that Minnesota bullpen has looked atrocious during the last week garnering a 9.64 ERA. Minnesota has lost 6 of their L/8 and the Astros are heating up having won 3 in a row. MLB Home teams - team with a poor OBP (.320 or less) against a very good starting pitcher (WHIP1.300 or less) -AL, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings are 51-28 since 1997. Play on the Astros |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Jun 14, 2025 Panthers vs Oilers |
OVER 6½ +106 |
Won $106 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
All 4 games in this series between these two teams in the Stanley Cup finals have seen at least 7 combined goals scored . No matter how well these goalies have played the tremendous talent on offense has found ways to score and Im betting nothing changes tonight. Edmonton home games in the Stanley Cup finals are 6-0 since last seasons with a combined average of 8.8 gpg scored. NHL Road teams where the total is 6 or more - after scoring 3 goals or more in 4 straight games against opponent after playing 2 straight games where 7 or more total goals were scored are 196-129 OVER for a 60% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the OVER |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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