Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing 16-5 CFB run and a 147-90 62% CBB Totals run that has made my dime players more than $47000 in profits plus 21-9 70% NBA run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NHL | Nov 12, 2024 Devils vs Panthers |
OVER 6 -108 |
Lost $108.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Panthers explosive offense will be key here to this tilt eclipsing the total. The Panthers have gone over in 11 of 15 games so far this season. LATE STEAM -Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Nov 12, 2024 Suns vs Jazz |
OVER 227 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Every game between these teams last year eclipsed this total ( 4 games). Rinse and repeat on board again this evening in the high altitudes of Utah. The Jazz rank 6th in the league in opace and 26th in ppg allowed. There scoring is also set to increase as they get healthier. Meanwhile, The suns rank top half of the league in offensive ppg production and bottom half of the league in ppg allowed. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | Nov 12, 2024 Wolves vs Blazers |
OVER 220 -110 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Last time out Portland put just 89 points on the board in a ugly DD loss to a Grizzlies side that played without injured guards Ja Morant and Desmond Bane. Quote:"It was just (expletive) embarrassing," Portland coach Chauncey Billups said. "We were soft as hell the whole game. Nobody really fought. It was just embarrassing for everybody. That's just not who we are. It really isn't. No excuse for that." END QOTE: Im expecting a more aggressive outing from the Blazers here at home especially on offense. Meanwhile, Minnesota also had problems scoring in game against Miami last time out losing. a 95-94 decision, thanks to alot of poor shooting. The Wolves will Im betting also be more aggressive offensively and come at the Blazers with everything they have and the home side will fire back with some offensive fireworks of their own as they look to avoid a 2nd straight beatdown. Note: Portland ranks 7th in the NBA and pace and is ranked 28th in defensive rating on the league. Minnesota games after allowing 105 points or less 2 straight games have gone over 16 of the L/19 with a combined average of 226.6 ppg.Minnesota away or neutral games when playing against a bad team (Win Pct. 25% to 40%). are 9-1 OVER L/10 with a combined average of. 229.4 ppg scored. Portland home games vs. division opponent have gone over in 15 of the L/17 overall with a combined average of 238.7 ppg. NBA Home teams where the total is 210 to 220 - revenging a road loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, tired team - playing 8 or more games in 14 days are 55-24 OVER dating back to the 2021 season. Play over |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-F | Nov 12, 2024 Central Michigan vs Toledo |
OVER 51½ -110 |
Lost $110.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Looking at Central Michigan defense had me looking at reasons to bet this game over the offered total of around 51-52 points. The chips has allowed over six yards per play in conference games to this point and the my projections estimate the Rockets are going to able to move the chains and produce adequate offensive production that will help us get over this number. The Chippewas defense allows 31 points per game with a lot of points being scored on explosiveness. Central Michigan’s defense ranks 128th in Explosiveness allowed which is obviously a crap ranking. On D, the Chips rank 73rd in Rush Success Rate allowed as opposed to 94th in Pass Success Rate allowed. The Rockets Quarterback Tucker Gleason leads a consistent offense that averages 29 points per game. . Toledo also rank 60th in Rush Success Rate and 30th in Pass Success Rate. I know Toledo has done decently from a defensive perspective, but the CMU dual-threat QB duo and above average running game that ranks in the top 40 in yards per carry should help bolster their offense production and see the combined score get us over the number. Toledo has gone over in all 4 home games this season, while Central Michigan 3 of 4 road games and 4 of 5 MAC confrontations. Central Michigan away or neutral games after failing to cover the spread in 2 out of their last 3 games have gone over 5 straight times with a combined average of 61.8 ppg scored. HC Jim McElwain games when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 75%) have gone over 10 of 12 games have gone over 59.9 ppg. Play on OVER |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NCAA-B | Nov 12, 2024 Norfolk State vs William & Mary |
UNDER 156 -111 |
Lost $111.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
My College basketball sides/Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweaked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals /Sides offerings from the sports books. ( Coaching systems, pace, officials ,injuries, road.away dichotomies are all taken into consideration as is current form and league wide stats/trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |
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