Alex Smart

The Boston Celtics are playing better despite being short-handed while the New Orleans Pelicans have struggled since getting healthy.

The Celtics seek their fourth consecutive victory Sunday when they visit the Pelicans, who are 0-2 since rookie Zion Williamson joined the lineup and Im betting things dont bet much better for the Pelicans here vs a more experienced team. 

BOSTON is 16-3 ATS off an upset win as a road underdog over the last 3 seasons which was the case last time out .

Play on Boston to cover 

The Suns have double revenge on board here for two losses in this series this season and have the talent and capability all be it inconsistent to be competitive and pull off an upset here in Memphis. 

The Suns are 5-0 ATS L/5 as a road dog.PHOENIX is 8-1 ATS  in road games versus explosive offensive teams - scoring 110+ points/game this season.Williams is 10-1 ATS   in road games revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points as the coach of PHOENIX. 

NBA Underdogs (PHOENIX) - revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road win are 165-103 ATS L/5 seasons for a 61% conversion rare for bettors. 

Play on Phoenix to cover

My College basketball selections are indepthly researched with no stone is left unturned in bringing long term winning selections to my clients. Injury reports, trends, coaching tendencies, systems, matchup discrepancies , as well as line movement and mathematical line advantages are all used to make an intelligent well thought out investment decision.

NORTHWESTERN is 6-0 UNDER  in home games versus teams who make 8 or more 3 point shots/game on the season after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 126.1 ppg scored.NORTHWESTERN is 9-1 UNDER  in home games after 2 straight games where opponent was called for 15 or less fouls over the last 3 seasons with a combined average of 121.2 ppg scored. 

OHIO ST is 8-1 UNDER  in road games off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons. (Which was the case last time out at home vs Minnesota) OHIO ST is 9-2 UNDER  in road games when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons with the combined average 125.6 ppg. 

CBB Road teams where the total is between 130 and 139.5 points (OHIO ST) - after being beaten by the spread by 48 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games are 37-12 UNDER L/23 seasons for a 76% conversion rate for bettors.

Play UNDER 

After outlasting Connecticut on Thursday night,  in a hard fought game, Im betting Houston will be in a letdown spot vs a S.Florida side Im sure their overlooking. I know these teams are at the proverbial opposite end of the overall performance spectrum, but this is a spot play that offers value in my opinion.South Florida's defense will make the  Cougars work hard . The Bulls have limited five consecutive opponents to 68 points or fewer.S FLORIDA is 9-2 ATS as a road underdog or pick over the last 2 seasons.

Play on South Florida to cover 

The Knicks played a hard fought game vs the league champs last time losing a  118-112  tilt and will be in an emotional letdown spot today vs a desperate Nets side with revenge on board for a loss to the Knicks back in Brooklyn on Dec 26th  by a 94-82 score.That was truly and ugly performance from the Nets and now redemption is at hand. BROOKLYN is 17-4 ATS  in road games revenging a home loss vs opponent of 10 points or more over the last 3 seasons. NYK is 0-8 /ATS L/8 after facing the Raptors.

NBA Underdogs (BROOKLYN) - cold team - failing to cover the spread in 12 or more of the last 15 against opponent after having covered 4 of their last 5 against the spread are 48-18 ATS L/23 seasons for a 72% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Brooklyn Nets to cover 

Missouri State is 0-6 when opposing teams score 73 or more points. Drake is a perfect 10-0 when its offense scores at least 73 points and have won 10 straight home games . It must be noted that Drake allowed 63 ppg or less at home this season while scoring 78.9 ppg. Meanwhile, Missouri State scores an average of 64.5 ppg . The Bulldogs have swept the season series from the Bears each of the last two seasons and have won five of the previous six meetings between the two program and they get the nod to win and cover here today. 

MISSOURI ST is 7-21 ATS  versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons

DRAKE is 16-4 ATS in home lined games over the last 2 seasons and is 9-2 ATS   in home games against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons. 

CBB Underdogs of +145 to +350 vs. the money line (MISSOURI ST) - in a game involving two good defensive teams (40-42.5%) after 15+ games, after game - allowing a shooting pct. of 33% or less are 31-155 L/23 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at -7.7 ppg.

Play on Drake to cover 

The Huskies enter the game 1-4 in the American Athletic Conference, while Tulsa is 5-1 in conference play.

Tulsa has alot of momentum on their sides entering this game as is evident by their current 4 game win streak which includes victories vs Houston and Memphis . Meanwhile, Connecticut their hosts are on a 3 game losing streak and playing at the proverbial opposite end of the performance spectrum. The key here today is a hardcore Tulsa D, that has allowed 61,49, 54,40 points respectively in the above mentioned 4 wins, and Connecticuts inconsistent offence that has scored 60 points or less in 4 of their L/6 games. Tulsa has won 4 straight meetings against the Huskies including the only meeting between the teams last season and Im betting if they lose tonight it will be hard fought and Tulsa will still get the cover. 

CONNECTICUT is 3-12 ATS  after scoring 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

TULSA is 22-11 ATS  versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 4+ points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Play on Tulsa to cover

San Diego State is undefeated at 20-0 but UNLV must not be underestimated in their ability to be competitive here and cover on their own home floor where they are 9-4 SU this season. 

UNLV is 12-4 ATS  when playing only their 2nd game in 8 days over the last 2 seasons.

Otzelberger is 13-3 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 45%  or more of their shots after 15+ games in all games he has coached since 1997.

CBB Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (SAN DIEGO ST) - off a home win against a conference rival, a top-level team (80% or more ) playing a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) are 23-69 L/23 seasons for a 70% go against conversion rate for bettors.

Play on UNLV to cover 

 The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5 ppg, 24th in the NBA and the Raptors average more than 112 ppg overall this season despite of being short handed with injuries for much of this season, but are healthy entering this game vs the Spurs . Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting  37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. With that said, Im betting on a big time shoot out here today in the Alamo. 

TORONTO is 12-2 OVER in road games in January games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 230.8 ppg scored.

SAN ANTONIO is 20-9 OVER  versus up-tempo teams averaging 88 or more shots/game this season with a combined average of 231.4 ppg going on the scoreboard.

NBA Road teams where the total is 220 to 229.5 (TORONTO) - off an road win scoring 110 or more points, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a team with a losing record are 33-9 OVER L/23 seasons for a 79% conversion rate for bettors.

Play OVER 

Toronto ranks sixth in points per game by an opponent, averaging 106. The Spurs give up an ugly 114.5, 24th in the NBA. Both teams are top-level three-point shooting squads with Toronto shooting t 37.6% to the Spurs’ 36.7%. The Raptors come in having won six in a row while the Spurs had won three consecutive until Phoenix abruptly  the  with a  win in San Antonio. Toronto has won six straight games on the road, the third longest streak in team history and today Im betting they end a long losing streak of 10 games here in San Antonio. 

SAN ANTONIO is 7-16 ATS  in home games this season.

 NBA teams where the line is +3 to -3 (TORONTO) - revenging a home loss vs opponent against opponent off an upset loss as a home favorite are 32-12 ATS L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate for bettors.