Handicapper Alex Smart’s March Madness Picks & Predictions

	Alex Smart
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| May 11, 2021 Clippers vs Raptors	UNDER 218 -112	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
Clippers are gearing up for play off basketball by playing a top tier brand of D that has resulted in 8 straight unders.With Toronto playing short handed here Im betting Nurse will employ a conservative posture that will see a combined score that stays on the low side of the total. TORONTO is 13-1 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons with the average combined score of those tilts ringing in at 206.9 ppg scored.TORONTO is 20-7 UNDER versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 213.3 ppg. Play UNDER
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| May 11, 2021 Royals vs Tigers	Royals -120 at pinnacle	Lost $120.0
Play Type: Premium
Tigers Brady Singer(RHP1-3, 3.41 ERA, 29 SO) had his best start of the season when the Royals visited Detroit in April, throwing seven dazzling innings while allowing just a run on three hits, no walks and eight strikeouts and gets my support here today. The Tigers are 0-9 L/9 on the ML when Matthew Boyd starts as a dog when he went fewer than 5 innings in his last start. DETROIT is 0-11 against the money line with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (AL) this season. DETROIT is 1-18 against the money line vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .260 or worse this season. KANSAS CITY is 6-0 against the money line in road games after scoring 4 runs or less 4 straight games over the last 3 seasons.KANSAS CITY is 16-4 against the money line as a favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. Play on Royals to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| May 11, 2021 Nuggets vs Hornets	Hornets +6½ -105 at pinnacle	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
The Hornets are right around the edge of being No. 10 seed in this year’s Eastern Conference playoff chase and cannot afford anymore losses and Im betting that will see them leave everything on the floor here tonight vs the Nuggets giving us an edge taking points. It must also be noted that the Hornets have revenge on board for a beating they took in the Mile High city on March 14 which will add to their motivation factors in this spot play. Note :Denver has lost 3 of their L/4 and are on tired legs after back to back games vs Utah and Brooklyn and now playing their 4th game in 6 nights. The home side is 8-0 ATS L/8 meetings in this series. Play on Charlotte to cover
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| May 11, 2021 Yankees vs Rays	Rays +117 at linepros	Lost $100.0
Play Type: Premium
TB starter Luis Patino (RHP1-0, 1.17 ERA), 10 SO ) Rather than pairing Patiño with Shane McClanahan on Sunday, the Rays held him back to start vs. New York. He's likely only built up to pitch 3-4 innings, but he's been lights out so far with four baserunners and 10 Ks in 7 2/3 IP over three outings and will take the Rays deep enough for the bull pen cleanup . Meanwhile, Yankees starter MONTGOMERY is 4-15 against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125. MONTGOMERY is 1-3 when starting against TAMPA BAY with an ERA of 5.25 and a WHIP of 1.500. MLB Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (TAMPA BAY) - ice cold hitting team - batting .215 or worse over their last 10 games, starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 28-12 L/5 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. Play on TB to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| May 11, 2021 Phillies vs Nationals	OVER 9 +100	Lost $100.0
Play Type: Premium
Nationals starter Erick Fedde(RHP2-3, 5.27 ERA, 28 SO) is 2-4 with a 5.26 ERA in eight appearances (seven starts) in his career against the Phillies. He allowed five runs in as many innings in his last start on Wednesday vs. the Braves. Meanwhile, Chase Anderson the Phillies starter still has not pitched more than five innings in any of his first six starts and owns a bloated 5.54 ERA on the season, and does not matchup well vs the Nationals batting order according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings. Over is 6-1 in Phillies last 7 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.Over is 9-2 in Phillies last 11 road games vs. a team with a losing record. Play on the OVER
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| May 11, 2021 Nets vs Bulls	UNDER 233 -109	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
The Chicago Bulls are playing a strong brand of defensive hoops of late holding three straight opponents to less than 99 points, with all 3 affairs generating wins for them. Im betting that because of their recent successes that type of basketball will continue to be played tonight vs the talented high flying Brooklyn Nets which will directly effect the pace of this game. Also with the play offs approaching the Nets have noticed are staring to pay attention to a better brand of defensive hoops that has resulted in the under cashing in 8 of their L/12 overall. CHICAGO is 10-2 UNDER against Atlantic division opponents this season with a combined average of 215 ppg scored. In 33 home games this season the Bulls have seen a combined average score of 220.4 go on the score board. CHICAGO is 9-1 UNDER in home games versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season with a combined average of 214.2 ppg scored. CHICAGO is 11-3 UNDER versus good 3 point shooting teams - making 36% or better of their attempts - 2nd half of the season this season with a combined average of 214.8 ppg scored. NBA teams where the total is greater than or equal to 210 (CHICAGO) - after a cover as a double digit favorite, on Tuesday nights are 29-6 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 83% conversion rate for bettors. NBA Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (BROOKLYN) - a good team (+3 to +7 PPG diff.) against an average team (+/- 3 PPG diff.) after 42+ games, after a combined score of 215 points or more 2 straight games are 30-7 UNDER L/24 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the UNDER

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
• NBA Picks (+7740) 1199-1037 L2236 54% • All Sports Totals (+7370) 1078-922 L2000 54% • MLB Money Lines (+5887) 440-368 L808 54% • Basketball Totals (+4628) 682-581 L1263 54% • NHL Picks (+3859) 336-286 L622 54% • NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53% • Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54% • WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54% • NCAA-B Totals (+555) 152-132 L284 54% • CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55% • NFL Totals (+343) 61-53 L114 54%

• NBA Picks (+7740) 1199-1037 L2236 54%

• All Sports Totals (+7370) 1078-922 L2000 54%

• MLB Money Lines (+5887) 440-368 L808 54%

• Basketball Totals (+4628) 682-581 L1263 54%

• NHL Picks (+3859) 336-286 L622 54%

• NCAA-F Picks (+3048) 764-667 L1431 53%

• Football Totals (+1569) 183-153 L336 54%

• WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54%

• NCAA-B Totals (+555) 152-132 L284 54%

• CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%

• NFL Totals (+343) 61-53 L114 54%

SERVICE BIO
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.

My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

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