MLB | Sep 24, 2018
Astros vs Blue Jays
+1½ +110 at 5Dimes
|Play Type: Premium|
Keuchel did not look good in his most recent trip to the hill, as loss as well as taking a first-inning comebacker to the head , which ended in a 9-0 loss to Seattle. Keuchel lasted five innings, giving up five runs and six hits.KEUCHEL the Astros starter is 7-12 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)
Meanwhile, Estrada despite of dealing with some back problems recently has looked good on the hill. In his last outing, he battled through his pain to allow just one run over six innings during a start vs. Baltimore.ESTRADA is 7-2 against the money line vs. AL teams scoring 4.9 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
Im betting on the Jays to be competitive here today and to cover on the runline.
Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line (TORONTO) - with a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start, with a cold starting pitcher- ERA 6.50 or worse over his last 10 starts is 37-13 on the RL last 21 seasons for a 74% conversion rate for bettors on the blind.
The Astros are 0-15 straight up on the road off a home game in which they left 16-plus men on base and it is post All-Star break.
Play on the Toronto Blue Jays +1.5 runline
NFL | Sep 24, 2018
Steelers vs Bucs
+1 -108 at pinnacle
|Play Type: Premium|
Pittsburgh at 0-2 does not currently look like a power house team thanks in part to a defence that looks highly inconsistent.What Im trying to say is that the Steelers look to be a weaker pick than many might anticipate here this Monday night. I'm betting on QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (back to back 400 yard games) and a talented collection of playmakers that include DeSean Jackson, Mike Evans, O.J. Howard and Chris Godwin to do some damage here tonight on their way to a cover. QUOTE:"I respect what they've done. I'm not so sure I'm surprised," Steelers coach Mike Tomlin said of Tampa Bay's emergence with wins against the New Orleans Saints and the reigning Super Bowl champion Philadelphia Eagles. END QUOTE:
Tomlin is 6-16 ATS in road games in September games as the coach of PITTSBURGH.Buccaneers are 8-0 ATS as Monday Night home dogs when coming off non-divisional tilt.
It must also be noted that TB should not be underestimated here no matter how desperate the Steelers are as NFL teams like Tampa Bay coming off consecutive straight up underdog wins, are 12-1 SU and a perfect 5-0 ATS as dogs.
Play on the Tampa Bay Bucs to cover
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 18 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.