Alex Smart Alex Smart
Alex Smart Sports- NBA/MLB action now on board. Get the info the books do not want you to have.
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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 26, 2021
Nationals vs Phillies
UNDER 9½ -110 Lost
Play Type: Premium

Nats starter Joe Ross goes  on Monday. The Under is 12-3 in his 15 starts this year and Im betting on more of the same action here today. The Nationals are 0-11 UNDER L/11 when Joe Ross starts as a dog after they scored less than 3 runs in his last start.  ROSS is 8-0 UNDER as a road underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record) Meanwhile, the Phillies starter  Spencer Howard,  owns a  1.072 WHIP in his last three starts, and is in viable form. Today along with his bullpen against a Nats team that is suddenly struggling to score another lower scoring output should be expected. Under is 23-9-2 in Nationals last 34 vs. National League East.
MLB Home teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (PHILADELPHIA) - cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 5 games against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest are 63-34 UNDER  L/5 seasons for a 65% conversion rate. 

Play on the UNDER 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 26, 2021
Reds vs Cubs
-126 at William Hill
Play Type: Premium

The Cubs are 10-0 L/10 when Kyle Hendricks starts as a home favorite after he gave up no walks in his last start. CHICAGO CUBS are 13-3  against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

MLB Road teams (CINCINNATI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG .250 or less) against a team with a good bullpen (ERA 3.75 or less), starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs in his last 2 outings are 28-68 L/5 seasons for a 68% conversion rate. 

Play on the Cubs to win 

Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Jul 26, 2021
White Sox vs Royals
White Sox
-119 at BetVegas
Play Type: Premium

Royals starter minor MINOR is 0-6   against the money line in home games vs. an AL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record) MINOR is 1-7  against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. KEUCHEL is 7-1 when starting against KANSAS CITY with an ERA of 2.49 and a WHIP of 1.197.

White Sox starter KEUCHEL is 10-1 against the money line in night games this season. (Team's Record)

The White Sox are 9-0 L/9 as a road favorite off a win as a dog.White Sox are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a losing record.White Sox are 10-1 in the last 11 meetings in Kansas City.

Play on the White Sox to win 


Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.