Handicapper Alex Smart’s March Madness Picks & Predictions

	Alex Smart
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YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| Sep 17, 2020 Mets vs Phillies	OVER 7½ -111	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
Phillies starter Nola is is 10-2 OVER with a team slugging percentage of .440 or better on the season (NL) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 10.8 rpg scored. I know Nola has pitched well lately but he is 14-5 OVER after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) with a combined average of 11.1 rpg scored. Lugo the Mets starting pitcher is also doing decently, but according to my pitcher vs batting order power rankings the Phillies matchup well against hime. PHILADELPHIA in 8 games with with a money line at home of -100 to -150 this season has seen an average of 10.2 rpg scored. NY METS in 14 games against the money line as an underdog of +100 to +150 this season have seen a combined average of 9.5 rpg scored. Note: The Phillies are 10-0 L/10 OVER as a favorite off a loss as a dog in which they held the lead with a combined average of 12.8 rpg scored. Play OVER
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NBA \| Sep 17, 2020 Heat vs Celtics	UNDER 209 -110	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
Miami really was lights-out efficient in game 1 of this series offensively and now Im betting on a regression and for both these teams to settle into a much slower paced game here in game 2 after the game 1 OT affair. Under is 7-3 in Heat last 10 when their opponent scores 100 points or more in their previous game. Under is 5-0 in Celtics last 5 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. NBA teams where the Under is 7-1 in Celtics last 8 games playing on 1 days rest. NBA teams with a total of 200 to 209.5 (BOSTON) - very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game against opponent after scoring 115 points or more are 34-8 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 81% conversion rate for bettors. Play UNDER
Matchup	Selection	W/L
MLB \| Sep 17, 2020 Rangers vs Astros	Astros -230 at Mirage	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
Houston was upended (embarrassed) by Texas last night 1-0, wasting a fine pitching performance and will now be desperate to bounce back making them a viable side to back. Yes, even at these high of a line. TEXAS is 0-11 against the money line in road games vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .320 or worse this season. TEXAS is 3-15 against the money line as a road underdog of +100 or higher this season. The Rangers are 0-17 SU since Aug 26, 2018 as a 140+ dog after they were shut out in the first 6 innings. MLB underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (TEXAS) - bad offensive team (4.2 or less runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA 4.20 to 4.70)-AL, with an on base percentage of .300 or worse over their last 10 games are 3-32 L/5 seasons for go against for a 92% conversion rate. Play on the Houston Astros to win
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NFL \| Sep 17, 2020 Bengals vs Browns	UNDER 43½ -106	Lost $106.0
Play Type: Premium
The Browns averaged just 4.5 yards per play in offence and scored just 6 points in Week 1 while the Bengals produced data that came in at 4.4 yards per play and just 13 points . Im betting both sides offensive woes will continue here this Thursday night and this total will stay on the low side of the number. Week one and two non divisional games have been ATMs for totals bettors hotting the under as is evident by a 44-23-1 record dating back to the 2005 season for a 66% conversion rate. Under is 8-1-1 in Bengals last 10 games as a road underdog. Under is 5-0 in Browns last 5 Thursday games. Under is 15-5-1 in Browns last 21 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.Under is 20-7 in Browns last 27 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Under is 5-1-1 in the last 7 meetings in Cleveland. Play UNDER
Matchup	Selection	W/L
NHL \| Sep 17, 2020 Lightning vs Islanders	Lightning -157 at pinnacle	Won $100
Play Type: Premium
The Islanders played their hearts out in game 5 and barely escaped with a victory in OT by a 2-1 count. Truth is the Isles are still a few pieces away from winning a Stanley Cup in my opinion, and the Bolts on most nights play a better form of Barry Trotz hockey than the Isles can at this juncture in their development. Lightning are 43-8 in their last 51 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. Islanders are 6-15 in their last 21 games as an underdog. Islanders are 1-4 in their last 5 games following a win. Play on the Tampa Bay Lightning to win

PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
• NBA Picks (+8593) 949-799 L1748 54% • All Sports Picks (+8360) 4260-3871 L8131 52% • MLB Money Lines (+5540) 376-313 L689 55% • NHL Picks (+4782) 242-186 L428 57% • Basketball Picks (+3859) 2133-1932 L4065 52% • NCAA-F Picks (+3569) 661-570 L1231 54% • Football Totals (+2001) 147-116 L263 56% • NCAA-B Totals (+1184) 95-75 L170 56% • WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54% • NFL Totals (+612) 42-33 L75 56% • CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%

• NBA Picks (+8593) 949-799 L1748 54%

• All Sports Picks (+8360) 4260-3871 L8131 52%

• MLB Money Lines (+5540) 376-313 L689 55%

• NHL Picks (+4782) 242-186 L428 57%

• Basketball Picks (+3859) 2133-1932 L4065 52%

• NCAA-F Picks (+3569) 661-570 L1231 54%

• Football Totals (+2001) 147-116 L263 56%

• NCAA-B Totals (+1184) 95-75 L170 56%

• WNBA Sides (+683) 114-99 L213 54%

• NFL Totals (+612) 42-33 L75 56%

• CFL Sides (+411) 51-42 L93 55%

SERVICE BIO
Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes. My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%! I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.

My picks have been documented for 20 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.

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