Alex Smart Alex Smart
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Alex Smart Sports- CBB Side Smash - Kansas vs Kentucky

The Kentucky Wildcats go head to head with the Kansas Jayhawks. Which side has the edge? Your 100% Guaranteed answer is locked and loaded and ready to make the books pay for taking our action. Tips after 9:30 pm et 

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*This subscription includes 1 NCAA-F pick

YESTERDAY'S PLAYS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Pacific vs Nevada
Nevada
-5½ -110 at YouWager
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

The Nevada men's basketball team, off to a 2-0 start and are looking like a viable favorite here today vs Pacific.Wolf Pack are 7-0 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.Wolf Pack are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record and are 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games as a home favorite.Wolf Pack are also 11-4 ATS in their last 15 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600. Meanwhile, Pacifc despite of being 1-0 with a win vs Riverside, Im betting dont have the guns to hang here as they play without their top player from last season Khalil Tripp. 

Play on Nevada to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Georgia State vs Mercer
Mercer
+2½ -108 at Draft Kings
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Hawkins Arena has been kind to the Bears in recent years.  Each of the past two seasons, Mercer has gone 9-6 on their home floor. In 2017-18, the Bears were 11-3 inside Hawkins Arena and tonight Im betting they have an edge behind a group that shares the ball well.Currently, the Bears rank first in the Southern Conference and ninth in the country with 41 assists. Neftali Alvarez leads the team with 15 assists (7.5 apg) through two games abd have the edge vs Georgia State. 


Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.Panthers are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.

Bears are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall. Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.

Play on Mercer to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Stanford vs Alabama
UNDER 148½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

No comment

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Indiana vs Providence
Indiana
-1 -107 at pinnacle
Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

Maui Invitational

Providence despite of teeing of on MAAC side Fairfield in their opener may take time to get going offensively this season vs Power 5 teams as they replace alot of last years key scoring attributes with   Alpha Diallo (14.1 ppg), Luwane Pipkins (10.8 ppg), and Maliek White (7.8 ppg) all gone. Meanwhile, considering Miller-coached teams key on  defense, and the  fact the Hoosiers finished 26th last year in adjusted defensive efficiency makes me feel like Indiana could bring home the cash today in a neutral floor environment as short chalk vs a side that may take time to flow and generate the same kind of numbers they did last season.Hoosiers are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.Friars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games as an underdog. Friars are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.

Play on Indiana to cover 

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Auburn vs UCF
OVER 141½ -105 Lost
$105.0
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Nov 30, 2020
Bowling Green vs Appalachian State
OVER 149½ -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play OVER

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Nov 30, 2020
Seahawks vs Eagles
UNDER 49 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

These teams offenses do not run a very high speeds. Seattle is ranked in the middle of league in pace with the Eagles offense ranks 25th in pace. Both these offensive lines rank 31st and 32nd in adjusted sack rate, which will Im betting makes for some stalled plays and adjusted yards that see backward movement. Philadelphia offense overall rank 30th overall and 30th in passing offense and Im betting their lack of explosiveness will also hamper the combined points basket here. Meanwhile, the Eagles D, continues to improve, and deserves respect here against Wilson and company.  On the flips side I know the caveat here is the Seahawks Defense, but it is uptrending in my charts, and now that they are getting heal-their could easily continue to improve. With Seahawks Carroll recently deciding to revert back to a more run heavy attack, Im projecting a more grinding game than the lines-makers might expect. 

Under is 9-4 in Seahawks last 13 games as a road favorite. Under is 7-2 in Seahawks last 9 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.

Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 games overall.Under is 4-1 in Eagles last 5 Monday games.Under is 12-3 in Eagles last 15 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.Under is 4-0 in Eagles last 4 vs. NFC.Under is 13-3 in Eagles last 16 games in November.T

he Eagles are 0-15 UNDER L/15 at home facing a team allowing more than 21 points per game with a combined average of 35.13 ppg going on the board with none of the 15 games going over this total. 

Play UNDER

PICKS IN PROGRESS
Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 01, 2020
Valparaiso vs Illinois-Chicago
UNDER 139½ -110
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 01, 2020
Davidson vs Providence
Davidson
+1½ -107 at betonline
Play Type: Premium

No comment

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 01, 2020
Green Bay vs Wisconsin
UNDER 149 -110 Won
$100
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 01, 2020
Cleveland State vs Toledo
UNDER 139 -108
Play Type: Premium

My College basketball Totals projections are based on a system I have used for more than 25 years. The system is has been honed and tweeked multiple times during this period, and is now a viable long term profit based way to calculate value based Totals  offerings from the sports  books. ( Coaching systems, pace, injuries, road.away dichotomies  are all taken into consideration as is current form  and league wide trends dating backs 37 seasons) In other words no stone is left unturned. 

Play UNDER

Matchup Selection W/L
NCAA-B  |  Dec 01, 2020
Central Michigan vs Florida International
Central Michigan
+4 -105 at BMaker
Play Type: Premium

FIU looked weak defensively  versus division-two opponent Flagler in their opening two wins. That will be problematic here for FIU vs a Central Michigan team that exhibited a great deal of grit and spirited action vs UIC in their opener a game that they maybe should have won. Today Ill take what looks to be a physical Chips crew vs what seems to be a lazy group of Panthers. 

Play on Central Michigan to cover

SERVICE BIO

Experience & Awards

I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. 

My picks have been documented for 20 years.  I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.  

My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 18 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.

I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009  in a prestigious event.  I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006.  In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!  

I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.  

I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. 

Handicapping Approach

I have a firm belief in my systems.  There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.  

My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned.  I have a large database of information and statistics.  I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form.  I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.

Sports Betting Is An Investment

Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance.  The same is true of financial analysts.  The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. 

Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage.  You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.

I think sports betting is even better than the stock market.  The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.

In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.

I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!

This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!

Money Management

To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin.  You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.

If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game.  No more than 3% on the best bets.

This might seem a little on the low side.  But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books.  You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.

Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.

1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.

2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.

3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line.  It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.

4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.

5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.

6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.

These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.

I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.

*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled.  These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.