Alex Smart

Chicago's Michael Kopech (0-1, 1.54) goes against Right-hander Luis Severino (3-0, 3.63). Both hurlers matchup well against each opposing lineup.  Im betting both go deep and with this being the 2nd game of the day, a more sluggish effort from both sides which Im betting will see less offensive production. 

Under is 8-1-1 in White Sox last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in White Sox last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 8-2-1 in White Sox last 11 road gamesUnder is 10-4-1 in White Sox last 15 games as a road underdog.

Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a right-handed starter.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games vs. a team with a losing record.Under is 4-1 in Yankees last 5 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. Under is 7-2 in Yankees last 9 Sunday games.

NY YANKEES are 14-3 UNDER  when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.

Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in New York.

Play on the UNDER 

Fire baller  Logan Gilbert (4-2, 2.40 ERA) will look to continue his recent success in his second career start against Boston. GILBERT is 9-2  against the money line in road games vs teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 14-3  against the money line when the money line is +125 to -125 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record) GILBERT is 6-0  against the money line in road games when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Meanwhile, Nathan Eovaldi (1-2, 4.32 ERA) is off a  bad start when he takes  to the mound Sunday, as he allowed nine runs (six earned) on eight hits in just 1 2/3 innings last Tuesday. His current form does not bode well vs a Mariners side that is   4-0 in their last 4 games after losing the first 3 games of a series.

Red Sox are 4-9 in their last 13 games following a win.Red Sox are 2-6 in their last 8 games as a favorite.Red Sox are 0-4 in their last 4 Sunday games.

MLB Home teams (BOSTON) - AL team with a low slugging percentage (.410 or less ) against a team with a good bullpen (WHIP 1.350 or less ), with a slugging percentage of .500 or better over their last 3 games are 50-86 L/5 seasons for a go against 63% conversion rate.

Play on the Mariners to win 

The Mavericks came back in game 2 and  scored 72 first-half points as they led by as much as 19. However, they exerted to much energy early and did not pace themselves and  faltered down the stretch. Here in game 3 Im betting the Mavericks work more methodically and do enough damage needed behind the energy of their  home crowd and  motor themselves to a victory and more importantly a cover. DALLAS is 13-2 ATS  as a home favorite of 6 points or less this season. 

DALLAS is 20-8 ATS  revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.DALLAS is 17-6 ATS off a road loss this season.DALLAS is 11-2 ATS  in home games versus good shooting teams - making 46%  or more of their shots - 2nd half of the season this season.

GOLDEN STATE is 8-18 ATS  in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting 24 or less  free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season. GOLDEN STATE is 11-23 ATS  on the road when the line is +3 to -3 over the last 3 seasons.

NBA Home teams where the line is +3 to -3 (DALLAS) - after beating the spread by 42 or more points total in their last seven games against opponent after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game are 60-30 L/26 seasons for a 67% conversion rate for bettors.

Play on Dallas to cover 

The Lightning seized a 2-0 lead in their current series this week by posting a 4-1 win on Tuesday and a 2-1 victory two nights later with D and goaltending being the key to their success. Im betting the Bolts continue with that recipe as they try to replicate their 3rd straight victory.  This will result in a lower scoring affair that fails to eclipse this total. 

FLORIDA is 6-1 UNDER  revenging a loss vs opponent as a home favorite this season.FLORIDA is 11-2 UNDER off a close home loss by 1 goal over the last 3 seasons.

Under is 4-0 in Panthers last 4 when their opponent allows 2 goals or less in their previous game.Under is 5-0 in Panthers last 5 after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game.

Under is 4-0 in Lightning last 4 Conference Semifinals games.Under is 7-2 in Lightning last 9 playoff games as an underdog.

NHL Road teams against the total (FLORIDA) - off 2 or more consecutive home losses, in a game involving two good teams (60% to 70%) are 25-6 UNDER L/26 seasons for a 81% conversion rate. 

Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings.

Play UNDER 

Giants starter WOOD is 6-13  against the money line after 3 or more consecutive losses since 1997. (Team's Record) The Giants lost 2-1 yesterday to the Padres for their 3rd straight loss)  Padres are 10-1 in their last 11 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

The Giants current form does not. bode well for their fortunes today vs a up-trending side that is in top form. 

Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Padres are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a left-handed starter.Padres are 5-0 in their last 5 road games vs. a left-handed starter.

Giants are 2-7 in their last 9 games following a loss.Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game.Giants are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.

MELVIN is 20-8  against the money line vs. good fielding teams - averaging 0.6 or less  errors/game as the manager of SAN DIEGO.

SAN DIEGO is 13-4  against the money line vs. excellent fielding teams - averaging 0.5 or less  errors/game this season.

MLB Home teams (SAN FRANCISCO) - off 3 straight losses vs. division rivals, with a winning record on the season playing another winning team are 16-43 L/5 seasons for a 73% conversion rate.

MLB road teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (SAN DIEGO) - average offensive team (4.0 to 4.5 runs/game) against a decent starter (ERA 3.70 to 4.20)-NL, with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.70 or better on the season (NL) are 42-18 L/25 seasons for a 70% conversion rate. 

Play on SD Padres to win