|Alex Smart Sports - Consistent Long term winning results. Get the info the books do not want you to have.|
|PICKS IN PROGRESS|
WNBA | Jul 17, 2018
Liberty vs Wings
|UNDER 167 -115||
|Play Type: Premium|
New York is off an explosive offensive game last time, scoring 107 points, and I'm betting they will now revert back to their mean average of 78 ppg overall, and 76.2 ppg on the road. Meanwhile, Dallas is in a emotional letdown state after a hard fought loss to the Seattle Storm last time out. I know Dallas can play some big time offence , but overall their coaching staff preaches a defence first mentality and they have an ability to slow teams down, which I'm betting they do tonight against the Liberty. Considering the above mentioned situations I expect a muted total score here that fails to eclipse the number.
NEW YORK is 7-1 UNDER versus good shooting teams - making 44% or more of their shots this season with a combined average of 152.3 ppg scored . NEW YORK is 16-5 UNDER after a game where a team made 55% of their shots or better with the average combined score 127.4 ppg. NEW YORK is 15-4 UNDER versus good ball handling teams - committing 14 or less turnovers/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons with a combined average score of 151.2 ppg scored. NEW YORK is 19-8 UNDER after 2 or more consecutive wins over the last 3 seasons with the combined average score of those 27 games clicking in at 153 ppg.
WNBA Home teams where the total is greater than or equal to 150 (DALLAS) - hot team - having covered 6 or 7 of their last 8 against the spread, with a winning record on the season after 15 or more games are 28-5 UNDER L/5 seasons for a 85% conversion rate for bettors.
Play on the UNDER
PREMIUM PICK STREAKS
Experience & Awards
I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years.
My picks have been documented for 18 years. I have earned numerous top 10 Basketball and Football finishes.
My college football picks have profited in 16 of my last 17 seasons. In 2011 I went 68% for the year.
I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigous event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. In 2014 I overcame a slow start to finish 59-32 65%!
I have been an NBA World Champion with 7 winning seasons the last 8 years.
I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis.
I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat.
My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement.
Sports Betting Is An Investment
Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures.
Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable.
I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched.
In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool.
I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor!
This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously!
To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll.
If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets.
This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality.
Here are some additional guidelines I recommend.
1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources.
2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea.
3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture.
4. Buy off the hook on key numbers.
5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling.
6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base.
These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits.
I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself.
*Almost all selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). Strong selections will see our single game wagers doubled. These plays are rated as GENERALS CLUB selections.