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Stephen Nover |
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I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst. |
| YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2019 BYU vs Pepperdine |
Pepperdine +3½ -109 at GTBets |
Lost $109.0 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| Lorenzo Romar is doing an outstanding job with Pepperdine. The Waves have covered 10 of their 16 lined games, including going 5-1 ATS at home. Word is BYU could be missing its third leading scorer with guard Jashire Hardnett dealing with a hand injury. The Cougars have been brutal on the road covering just one of their last 11 away matchups. They have lost SU to Illinois State, Weber State and UNLV as road favorites already this season. Even in bad years, Pepperdine has been tough against BYU at home covering the past seven times. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 17, 2019 Blackhawks vs Rangers |
OVER 6½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
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The Blackhawks have gone Over the total in their last five games. They have been a big Over team all season especially on the road where the Over stands 32-15-4 during the past 51 instances. It's an easy formula to see why. Chicago can score, but plays no defense. The Blackhawks have allowed an average of 3.8 goals in their last five games. They've also allowed an average of 4.6 goals in their last six games. |
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| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NHL | Jan 17, 2019 Maple Leafs vs Lightning |
Maple Leafs +128 at betonline |
Won $128 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| It's tought to go against Tampa Bay at home, but the Maple Leafs are going to give the Lightning their best punch. Toronto is in circle-the-wagons mode losing five of its last seven games. Things should start to turn around, though, for the Maple Leafs with Frederik Andersen back in goal. This will be his second game after being out eight games due to a groin injury. He will be less rusty than he was in Toronto's last game, an embarrassing 6-3 home loss to the Avalanche. That happened on Monday. The Maple Leafs have been idle ever since. They are itching to test themselves versus the Lightning. Toronto has won 15 of its last 21 road contests. Even though the Lightning are home, the Maple Leafs are in the better spot. Tampa Bay just returned from a three-game road swing that concluded Tuesday night in Dallas where the Lightning defeated the Stars, 2-0. Dallas lost despite having six power play opportunities and getting off 35 shots on goal. This marks Tampa Bay's fourth game in six days - all at difference venues. The Lightning are vulnerable to lose here. Look for Toronto to seize the opportunity. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NCAA-B | Jan 17, 2019 Oregon vs Arizona |
UNDER 133½ -110 |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Top Premium | ||
| After three straight Overs, look for Oregon to go Under the total in this matchup. The Ducks are going back to slowing things down following games against racehorses UCLA and USC. Arizona plays at a much more deliberate tempo than the Bruins and Trojans. Both Oregon and Arizona are outstanding defensive teams. Oregon ranks 24th in defensive efficiency and gives up the 35th-fewest points in the nation. The Ducks are without their star shot blocker injured center Bol Bol,but could get big man Kenny Wooten back. The Ducks apply tremendous pressure on the ball ranking No. 1 in the Pac 12 in forcing turnovers. The Wildcats rank 45th in scoring defense holding foes to 66.1 points. Two strong defenses in a game where the tempo should be slow. That spells Under. | ||
| Matchup | Selection | W/L |
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NBA | Jan 17, 2019 Kings vs Hornets |
Hornets -3 -109 at GTBets |
Won $100 |
| Play Type: Premium | ||
| Charlotte is one of those decent home, bad road teams. The Hornets are 14-8 at home, 6-15 on the road. One of those away defeats came just five days ago at Sacramento. The Kings won, 104-97. So the Hornets have short revenge motivation. Charlotte lost by seven points at the Kings. The Hornets were 13-for-22 (59.1 percent) at the free throw line in that game. They rank ninth on the season in free throw percentage at 78.9 percent. The Kings are 9-11 SU on the road, 10-10 ATS. Sacramento has been far worse than average, though, recently on the road losing and failing to cover during their past four away matchups. The Kings haven't been on the road for nine days. They lost their last road contest, 115-111, to the Suns, who by far have the worst record in the Western Conference. Sacramento is fat and happy with three straight victories - all coming at home. Now the Kings go on the road where they have not looked good. | ||
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SERVICE BIO |
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Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons. |
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