Stephen Nover Stephen Nover

I have had only two losing season in pro football in my handicapping career. I have the best sources in the business thanks to more than 25 years as a sportswriter, handicapper and analyst.

Stephen Nover's MLB Underdog Game of the Year - 12-4 MLB Run

Misperceived pitching matchup. Ripe circumstances. Tremendous line value. The boxes all get checked here making this Stephen Nover's Baseball Underdog Game of the Year. Stephen is enjoying a big winning season and is hot down the stretch winning 12 of his past 16 MLB premium/free plays. Come join him on his underdog play of the year and turn a monster Monday baseball profit!

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Bookmakers pay little attention to the Canadian Football League. Stephen Nover has taken advantage of this to score huge profits beating the CFL in six of the last seven seasons. This includes 2021 when Stephen went 15-8-1 on his CFL plays for 65 percent. Take advantage of his expertise, research and top sources to score a big profit, too, in this beatable, niche sport. 

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One day NCAA-F of Stephen Nover

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College Football Season Subscription of Stephen Nover

College presents opportunities that the NFL doesn't where sometimes you can actually find line value. I've beaten the colleges the past three years by combining many handicapping factors such as matchup analysis, statistics, history, weather and situational elements. Information is the key. I'm fortunate that I have many sources to rely on. Many stem from having been a sportswriter/sports editor for daily newspapers in the Midwest, South and West for more than 20 years and having been the sports gaming writer for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years while also having covered the UNLV football team as the team beat writer for several years. I have the knowledge, experience and resources necessary to win. I've won the past three years and I expect to turn a tidy profit again this season.

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**2014 Basketball Champion!**
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Stephen Nover is one of the most respected NFL handicappers in North American with the record to back it up: 26 of 29 winning NFL seasons! All of Stephen's plays come with his trademark deep dive analysis. Stephen is a multiple Rotisserie league football champion and was an award-winning sportswriter for the Las Vegas Review-Journal for 13 years. He also worked for the legendary linesmaker Roxy Roxbury, who was the top oddsmaker in North America before retiring. Don't miss out. Lock in now and get all of Stephen's plays at a top value season price.

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Matchup Selection W/L
MLB  |  Oct 03, 2022
Blue Jays vs. Orioles
in 8h
The Orioles are 33 games better than they were a year ago at 82-77. They have been the top earning team for bettors this season. Once again the Orioles are being shortchanged on the betting line.  Toronto hits the road after a winning six-game homestand against the Yankees and Red Sox. The Blue Jays are 2-4, however, in their last six away contests.  The pitching matchup pits overrated Jose Berrios against underrated Dean Kremer.  Berrios pitches poorly on the road where his ERA is 6.76. He is 1-2 with an 8.78 during his last three starts.  Kremer has a 2.67 home ERA and 2.29 ERA during his last three starts.  (Editor's note: Stephen Nover is 12-4 on his last 16 premium/free MLB plays and has his MLB Underdog Game of the Year going today in addition to this free selection. Stephen is having a winning baseball season and is killing it in the NFL and college football, too, going 19-8-1 on his NFL premium/free plays and 22-10 on his premium/free college football plays.) 
Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Chargers vs Texans
-5½ -110 at circa
Play Type: Free

Some of the stars are missing, but the Chargers still hold a massive talent edge on the Texans. It's a circle-the-wagons game for the Chargers, too, after their 38-10 home loss to Jacksonville last Sunday.

No Joey Bosa, Keenan Allen and Rashawn Slater. But Justin Herbert showed his guts throwing for nearly 300 yards last week despite a painful rib injury. The gutty Herbert can be counted on - and that's what matters here. He's thrown for at least 300 passing yards during his last six road contests. It's a plus if Pro Bowl center Corey Linsley can return.

Joshua Palmer is one of the better No.3 wideouts in the league. So the loss of Allen isn't that severe. Khalil Mack is back to being a pass rushing terror so the Chargers still can bother Davis Mills without Bosa.

The bar is not set high at all here for the Chargers. The Texans are spunky, but devoid of talent. They are winless and probably the worst team in the NFL. Houston has gained the fourth-fewest yards while allowing the third-most yards. They have the worst run defense in the league by a wide margin surrendering 202.3 yards on the ground.

So this game set up well for Austin Ekeler, who is overdue to have a big rushing game to go with his strengths as a pass-catching running back.

(Editor's note: Stephen Nover is having a banner NFL season going 15-6-1 on his plays looking to beat the NFL for the 27th time in the last 30 years. Stephen has five premium plays today in addition to this free selection headed by his AFC Game of the Month and Sunday Night Blockbuster. Stephen also is having a huge college football season going 22-10 on his premium/free plays.)

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Chiefs vs Bucs
OVER 45½ -110 Won
Play Type: Premium

The Buccaneers have given up the fewest points in the league. Tom Brady is off to a slow start. The Chiefs are off a loss to the Colts in which they were held to 17 points.

So I get why this total is low given the caliber of these offenses.

I just find it too low.

The Chiefs had scored 24 or more points in 10 straight games until last week's loss to the Colts. The Chiefs were hurt offensively by some questionable official's calls and missed kicks from a backup kicker. They have since switched kickers with Harrison Butker still not ready.

The Buccaneers have an outstanding defense. No argument there. But it's not as dominant as the numbers show. Tampa Bay's opponents were the Cowboys, who are thin at wide receiver and in the offensive line, turnover-prone and banged-up Jameis Winston and the Saints and the ground-oriented Packers, who are in wide receiver development.

Kansas City doesn't have superstar Tyreek Hill. The Chiefs, though, have better wide receiver and running back depth than they've had before to compensate. They are two levels higher than any offense the Buccaneers have faced so far this season.

The Buccaneers are not facing an elite defense taking on the Chiefs. Brady should get back into rhythm with the Buccaneers getting healthier in the offensive line and at wide receiver. Mike Evans coming off suspension is huge.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Jets vs Steelers
-3 -110 at Ace
Play Type: Top Premium

The good news for the Jets is Joe Flacco won't be under center anymore. The bad news is Zach Wilson will be. I don't understand Jets optimism about Wilson. He was horrendous as a rookie last season. One of the three-worst starting quarterbacks in the league.

Not only could Wilson be rusty making his 2022 debut, but the Jets have an injury-riddled, inexperienced offensive line. The Jets are down to fourth-string left tackle Conor McDermott to protect Wilson's blindside. New York's other starting offensive tackle is fourth-round rookie Max Mitchell. What good are intriguing skill position talents if you have an inaccurate quarterback behind a bad offensive line?

The Steelers won't have superstar T.J. Watt. But they have other decent pass rushers.

I give the Steelers a strong coaching edge with Mike Tomlin over Robert Saleh plus a situational advantage having extra preparation time from having played last Thursday. That extra time helped Minkah Fitzpatrick come out of concussion protocol. He's a difference maker on defense.

Mitch Trubisky has excellent receiving weapons and is playing a softer defense at home. This is Trubisky's best opportunity all season.

Following this game, the Steelers play the Bills, Buccaneers, Dolphins and Eagles with three of those games being on the road. So this is a very important win opportunity that Pittsburgh can't blow.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Browns vs Falcons
OVER 47½ -110 Lost
Play Type: Premium

Both teams have surprised on offense. The Browns are averaging 28.3 points, rank fifth in total yards and have the NFL's leading rusher, Nick Chubb. 

The Falcons are averaging 26.7 points. They've faced a pair of respectable defenses, too, in the Rams and Saints. 

A key is each team's quarterback has performed better than many expected. Jacoby Brissett has completed 74 percent of his throws with three TD passes during his last two games. Marcus Mariota has completed 63.3 percent of his passes, averaging 8.1 yards per attempt, on the season. He's given the Falcons a running dimension they haven't had at quarterback during the long Matt Ryan era. 

The Falcons have three playmakers - Cordarrelle Patterson, Drake London and Kyle Pitts. The Browns permitted washed-up Joe Flacco to have his best game in a decade two weeks ago allowing him to throw for 307 yards and four TD passes. The Browns lost linebacker Anthony Walker to a season-ending injury last week and won't have premier pass rusher Myles Garrett, who was involved in a car accident this week. 

The Browns' dominant offensive line should control the line of scrimmage against the Falcons. Atlanta yields 27 points a game and ranks 26th in total defense. 

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Seahawks vs Lions
+3½ -110 at circa
Play Type: Premium

The Seahawks blasted the Lions, 51-29, in Week 17 last season. Rashaad Penny rushed for 170 yards in that game.

Since then the Seahawks have gotten worse and the Lions have improved. Detroit's improvement has come on offense. Defensively the Lions remain inept. They are last in scoring defense surrendering 31 points a game and 29th in total defense. They only have two takeaways and just lost Tracy Walker for the season with an Achilles tendon injury. He was one of the Lions' few good players on defense and a team captain.

The Seahawks have enough playmakers around Geno Smith to produce points against such a weak defense. Seattle also has enough defense to keep this close - if not pull the upset - when you take away the Lions' two best skill position players plus their kicker. That's the case here. D'Andre Swift, Amon-Ra St. Brown and Austin Seibert are all out.

I like the Lions in an underdog role. But laying points is not something I want to do with Detroit especially when the team is minus the dynamic Swift and reliable go-to receiver St. Brown.

Matchup Selection W/L
NFL  |  Oct 02, 2022
Broncos vs Raiders
-140 at BetVegas
Play Type: Premium

The Raiders are 0-3. But they could be 3-0. The Broncos are 2-1, but could be 0-3. 

So don't be too surprised that Las Vegas is favored against Denver. The Broncos lost to the Seahawks and defeated the winless Texans and disappointing 49ers by a combined eight points needing fourth quarter comebacks. 

The Raiders have yet to play a complete game. Las Vegas goes on the road to meet the Chiefs next week. So this clearly is a circle-the-wagons game for them.

Denver's defense has put up some outstanding statistics. The quarterbacks the Broncos have faced are Geno Smith, Davis Mills and a rusty Jimmy Garoppolo. Derek Carr is a cut above those quarterbacks and has two elite receiving weapons to challenge a Denver secondary that is minus star safety Justin Simmons with Davante Adams and Darren Waller.

Russell Wilson has had only one good drive in three games for the Seahawks. He has just two TD passes and 22 yards rushing. He sure looks like he has regressed. Maxx Crosby is one of the better pass rushers in the league. Las Vegas also expects to get back from injury a pair of underrated defenders, linebacker Denzel Perryman and safety Tre'von Moehrig. 

The Raiders have owned the Broncos winning and covering six of the last seven in the series. 


Sports gaming writer for Las Vegas Review-Journal 1984-1997. Professional handicapper since 1999. Author of three books - Las Vegas Sportsbeat, Sportsgaming Beat, Winning Fantasy Football. Taught sports betting at UNLV. Former co-host of the Sunday Night Stardust Line sports gaming radio show. Was part-time oddsmaker and analyst for Roxy Roxborough. Recognized NFL expert with 21 of 23 winning seasons.