Scott Rickenbach

Romania Liga 1 Sunday 8* OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB vs FC Arges @ 2:30 ET - Arges is angry as they have not been able to score goals recently and are in a winless tailspin as a result. FCSB is angry as this is a proud team use to winning and they are down in the standings. That is why you are going to see an aggressive approach to this match from both clubs. The result should be plenty of goals. FC Arges is conceding at a rate of 1.4 goals per match this season. FCSB is conceding at a rate of 1.7 goals per match this season. With each club a little leaky at the back but also putting the emphasis on the attack and going for the back of the net in this one, I am forecasting 4 goals here. That said, look for us to get at least 3 and cash our ticket here. 8* OVER 2.5 +115 in FCSB

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 8.5 in Los Angeles Angels vs Texas Rangers @ 4:07 ET - Late season game between two non-contenders and a pair of struggling starters on the mound. I will take the over here regardless of the pitchers. The Angels have won 6 straight games and have scored an average of 5 runs during this stretch. The Rangers have averaged only 4 runs per game last 10 but this is an afternoon game and there will not be any impressive starters on the mound. Those guys have already gone for each team recently so we see guys like Miller and Davidson in this one. The Rangers Miller was 4-7 with a 4.52 ERA in the minors this season so is not a big surprise he has a 6.94 ERA in his 5 MLB appearances so far in his young career. The Angels Davidson is 0-3 with a 9.45 ERA this month and opponents hitting over .300 against him. He is 2-8 with a 5.97 ERA in his young MLB career. Plenty of runs this afternoon in Anaheim. 10* OVER 8.5 in Los Angeles Angels

MLB Sunday 10* Top Play Philadelphia Phillies Run Line -1.5 -135 @ Washington Nationals @ 1:35 ET - Action on pitchers. The expected pitching match-up certainly favors the Phillies in a big way but there is also no getting around the fact that Philly has huge overall team edges in this match-up with Washington. They did drop Game 1 of yesterday's double-header but bounced back with a big win in Game 2. The Nationals are a horrible 17-55 in divisional games this season. The Phillies are 52-28 against teams with a losing record this season. Also, they are 27-17 against left-handed starters and the expected starter here is Corbin for the Nationals. He has had absolutely no success this season against the Phillies and been hit very hard in all 3 outings against them. The Nationals are going to struggle against Phillies expected starter Wheeler. He looks great since returning to the rotation and when he is on like this he is tough to beat. Also he dominated Washington in his only start against them this season. More of the same expected here. 10* PHILADELPHIA -1.5 -135

NFL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 45.5 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Kansas City Chiefs @ 8:20 ET - The Chiefs scored just 9 points when Andy Reid and company met Tom Brady and company in Feb of 2021. You can bet that NO ONE in this Chiefs organization has forgotten and KC is fired up for this game. Tampa Bay's defense has been great this season but they have not faced an offense like this just yet. Plus Kansas City is off a loss at Indianapolis last week. Chiefs are in a foul mood and will be raring to go here. Trouble for Chiefs? I do not trust this defense one bit. I just don't. Too many times I have seen them scorched and they are not that good away from home either. The defense that is. The offense is just fine. But when KC defense does not have the home crowd behind them they just don't seem the same. So Tampa Bay has not looked good on offense so far but they have faced a trio of solid defenses. No one can question how good Dallas and Green Bay has looked on that side of the ball and their other opponent was the Saints who have solid defensive stats too. The Chiefs have allowed at least 20 points in all 3 games this season and I know their stats on defense are "okay" but the 3 teams they have faced have a total of 3 wins in 9 games this season. This Bucs team is 2-1 this season and on their home field and ready to attack coming off a 14-12 loss to a tough Green Bay defense last week. I look for this game to prove to be much more wide open than many are expecting here. 10* OVER 45.5 in Tampa Bay Buccaneers

NFL Sunday 10* Top Play Denver Broncos +2.5 or +3 @ Las Vegas Raiders @ 4:25 ET - The betting markets still don't believe in Denver. The Broncos should be 3-0 this season already. They absolutely dominated the Seahawks in Week 1 but were handed a tough loss despite a massive yardage edge. The Raiders, on the other hand, continue to get the respect of the markets despite being 0-3 on the season. They were chasing for the entirety of the game at Tennessee last week as they got down to the Titans and that had to try to battle back but it was too little too late. It takes awhile for a new coach, Josh McDaniels, to get his team all on the same page and Las Vegas is now 0-3 both SU and ATS this season. I know the Broncos have not scored well this season but this offense can still produce and has Russell Wilson at the controls. Their offense is also more well-balanced than a Raiders offense that relies so heavily on the pass. Also, the Broncos are, without question, the much tougher defense. That sets this one up well for an upset victory but I am happy to grab the 2.5 or 3 points being offered in this one as of very early Sunday morning. Another key for me here is that the Broncos have lost 4 straight in this series. They want this game and they have the QB now, in Wilson, to get the job done and lead them to victory on the road here. Raiders have failed to cover 7 of the last 10 times they have been a home favorite. 10* DENVER +2.5 or +3

NFL Sunday 8* Philadelphia Eagles -6.5 vs Jacksonville Jaguars @ 1 ET - Coming into this season the Jaguars were expected to notch about 6 wins and the Eagles about 10 wins. Now with the Jags off to a surprising start the betting markets have over-reacted and you have this game priced in a way that indicates Eagles would only be favored by a FG over Jacksonville on a neutral field. I am not buying it! This Eagles team is for real and was forecast to reach double digits in wins for a reason. Jalen Hurts put in a lot of off-season work and it has paid major dividends for him and for these Eagles. Now they are at home and laying less than 7 against a Jags team that is a perennial loser. I am not saying the Jaguars with Lawrence at QB and Pederson at head coach deserve respect. They absolutely do merit respect. But they are still not the same talent level right now as this Eagles team. Philly has a game out West at Arizona after this. They know they must make the most of this home game. They got 9 QB sacks last week. The Jags have been great in pass protection so far but this is a different animal they are facing this week! Also, remember all the turnovers the Eagles generated in their only other home game this season versus the Vikings! Jacksonville has covered just 3 of last 11 overall and 3 of last 11 when in road dog role too. Also, Jaguars incredible 4-30 ATS against NFC teams long-term. The Eagles have covered 5 in a row as a home favorite and I love the line value here. 8* PHILADELPHIA -6.5

NFL Sunday 8* New Orleans Saints +3.5 vs Minnesota Vikings @ 9:30 AM ET in London - I am well aware of the QB situation for the Saints but with Winston having some turnover issues the fact that Dalton and Hill will be the QB options for New Orleans here may not be such a bad thing. Also, the Saints outgained the Panthers substantially last week at Carolina including by nearly 200 yards through the air but they were done in by turnovers. The Vikings hung on to beat Detroit last week but they did lose the stats battle there. Remember their last road game was at Philly and they got destroyed by the Eagles. I have a strong feeling the Saints win this one outright given all of the above. Statistically, they are the better team on both offense and defense so far this season but have been done in by turnovers. Watch Dalton and Hill both produce well for the Saints offense in this one. Grabbing the generous points here. 8* NEW ORLEANS +3.5

EPL Sunday 10* Top Play Leeds United Money Line +137 vs Aston Villa @ 11:30 AM ET - Leeds United got embarrassed 5-2 by Brentford when they were last in action. Now they are on their home pitch and have had plenty of time to recover from that demoralizing result both mentally and physically. Look for Leeds to come out hungry and refreshed here and they are tough on their home pitch where they are undefeated on the season and have outscored opponents 6 to 2. Note that Aston Villa is 0-3 on the road this season and has been outscored by a 7 to 2 margin as travelers this season. Aston Villa also has injury issues and that, coupled with their struggles away from home, make this is a great spot to back the hosts at a solid home dog money line price. 10* LEEDS UNITED +137

EPL Sunday 10* Top Play OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester City vs Manchester United @ 9 AM ET - Manchester United has certainly been playing much better after their horrific start to the season. That said, the visitors should be able to find the back of the net at least once in this one. But Manchester City is a machine right now and particularly at home where they have score a ridiculous average of nearly 5 goals per match. Overall, City has scored at least 3 goals in each of last 7 home victories. Given that, I am looking for a 3-1 type match here as Manchester United will not go down without a fight but they can't stop this City juggernaut led by Erling Braut Haaland who has an amazing 11 goals already in this campaign! 10* OVER 3.5 +115 in Manchester City

Romania Liga 1 Sunday Free Pick Sepsi +115 @ Hermannstadt @ 6 AM ET - This line looks funny for a reason. The odds makers are sharp. Hermannstadt has yet to lose a match this season plus they are at home for this one yet Sepsi priced to get the win here. It is no mistake as Sepsi rolling after a 7-0 victory in most recent match and will carry the momentum here. Sepsi has earned at least a point in 8 of 11 matches this season and they grab the full 3 on the road in this one. Free Pick SEPSI +115

Romania Liga 1 Monday 8* FC Botosani Goal Line PK +100 vs Universitatea Cluj @ 11 AM ET - FC Botosani will respond here on their home pitch after getting drilled 7-0 on the road in their most recent match. To put that in proper perspective as to how bad that loss was, their opponent today has scored only 7 goals this entire season in 11 matches! Indeed, Universitatea Cluj is the lowest-scoring team in the league this season and I am very comfortable with the goal line in this one. It means Universitatea Cluj has to win the match for us to lose our bet. A draw here and we get our money back. Note that Universitatea Cluj has only won 2 matches in their 11 so far this season. As for FC Botosani, prior to last week's ugly loss their goal differential was 0 as they had 9 for and 9 against and they had only 3 losses in 9 matches at that time on the season. The hosts are sure to respond this week! 8* FC Botosani