Mike Lundin

CELTICS @ ROCKETS NBA BOOKIE BU$TER

Great spot to back the Celtics as a road favorite. They should come into this one with a chip on their shoulder as they're still looking for their first win of the season. The Celtics took a 115-83 loss as a 7-point home favorite against Toronto in their last game while the Rockets are coming off their first win of the season, a 124-91 triumph over the Oklahoma City Thunder. 

Rockets are 6-20 ATS in their last 26 games as a home underdog. Celtics are 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on Boston Celtics. 

BEARS @ BUCS TOTAL

The Chicago Bears are 5-1 to the under on the season and they average an NFL-worst 246.2 yards of total offense per game. Their defense has been holding up though, and I think they'll be able to keep Tom Brady and the rest of the Buccaneers in check. Brady will be without two reliable weapons in tight end Rob Gronkowski (ribs) and wide receiver Antonio Brown (ankle). The Bucs are a big favorite (rightly so), and I think they'll pull away early and then keep the Bears at arms' length while controlling the clock.

8* play on UNDER. 

CHIEFS @ TITANS TOTAL

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

In addition to the Titans covering the spread, I don't think the bookmakers can make the number for the total big enough. 

Over is 8-1 in Titans last 9 games as an underdog. Over is 26-9-1 in Titans last 36 games overall. Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings.

8* play on OVER. 

Texans vs Cardinals Free Pick October 24, 2021

Sure, the undefeated Arizona Cardinals are the much superior side and they can pretty much name the score in this one, but I think Houston can keep this within the number. The Cardinals are in a potential look-ahead spot as they have Green Bay on deck on Thursday, and while the Texans are only 1-5 SU, they have covered the spread in three of their six games. Arizona is 5-1 ATS on the season, which should mean regression is imminent.

Free pick on Houston Texans. 

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JETS @ PATRIOTS TOTAL

The Jets are averaging an NFL-worst 13.4 points per game while the Pats have the no. 9 scoring defense with 21.2 points per game allowed. Eight of the last 11 meetings have gone under the total, and the Pats lack offensive firepower as well. New England gave up 550+ yards and 35 points to Dallas last week, but under is 7-0 in Patriots last 7 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game. I expect this to be a defensive grind. 

8* play on UNDER. 

FALCONS @ DOLPHINS SPREAD

Good spot to back the Falcons who have had a week off since defeating the Jets in London. The Dolphins are not granted that same luxury as they're coming off straight off a 23-20 loss to Jacksonville across the pond last week. Miami has really struggled to put points on the board lately while Atlanta's offense has been heating up. 

8* play on Atlanta Falcons. 

COLTS @ NINERS SUNDAY NIGHT NFL SHOWDOWN

The Niners have suffered three straight defeats SU and ATS, but I think they'll snap the skid when hosting Indianapolis here in Week 7. San Francisco is allowing only 217 passing yards per game (7th), and Colts' QB Carson Wentz could be in for a reality check after putting up big numbers against Baltimore and Houston. Additionally, wideout T.Y. Hilton's status is uncertain as he's dealing with a quadriceps injury. 

As for the Niners' offense, all signs point to QB Jimmy Garoppolo returning from a calf injury. Coming out of their bye, the whole team has had time to get some rest and heal up. I think we'll see a big game from the home team. 

8* play on San Francisco 49ers. 

WASHINGTON @ GREEN BAY SIDE

Washington is only 1-5 ATS on the season while Green Bay is 5-1 ATS, but that's also a reason why we're getting a couple of extra points on the underdog in this matchup. I would not be surprised to see the Packers coming out flat following a 24-14 triumph over NFC North rivals Chicago, a game that was a one-score game with less than five minutes to go. Washington is dealing with injuries, but I think the Football Team will step up after getting completely outplayed by Kansas City last week. 

8* play on Washington. 

NFL MAJOR WAGER ALERT - MIKE'S AFC GAME OF THE MONTH (SIDE)

The Chiefs are coming off a dominant win over Washington, but they'll face a much tougher test in the Tennessee Titans this Sunday. Sure, the Titans will be playing on a short week after defeating Buffalo on Monday, but their offense can put up points with the best of them and Kansas City's defense has a lot of holes, so it's definitely possible to outgun them. 

The Chiefs have been burning money for their ATS backers for quite some time (4-13 ATS in their last 17 games overall) and they're 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings with the Titans. 

10* play on Tennessee Titans.