Jimmy Boyd

3* NCAAB Late Night BAILOUT BLOWOUT on Fullerton +

This is going to look like an easy play on Long Beach State, as they come in 6-1 at home, while CS-Fullerton is a mere 1-10 on the road. The books have set the trap. The smart money here is going to be on the Titans. 

The 49ers have been getting all the calls the last couple of games, which is worth noting. Long Beach State is a mere 1-9 ATS in their last 10 at home after back-to-back games where they attempted 10+ more free throws than their opponents. Titans are also a strong 4-1 ATS last 5 vs a team with a losing record. Take CS-Fullerton! 

3* NCAAB Money Line ANNIHILATOR on Virginia +

Forget the spread, I'm taking the Cavaliers on the money line in their huge road showdown at Duke. Don't get me wrong, I think the Blue Devils are a great team, but I think the loss of point guard Tre Jones is huge for this team. Lucky for them its not going to keep him out long. 

However, I think not having Jones really puts Duke behind the 8-ball in terms of trying to hand Virginia their first loss of the season. The Cavaliers are playing like a team possessed after being the first No. 1 seed to lose to a No. 16 seed. I really like what I have seen, as they are a much better offensive team and still play lockdown defense. I look for the Blue Devils' young studs to struggle without Jones running the show. Take Virginia! 

1* Free NCAAB Pick on Wisconsin Badgers +4.5

I think there's a really good chance that Wisconsin hands the Wolverines their first loss of the season. Making this an easy play with the Badgers getting points. Michigan isn't going undefeated and will likely lose multiple games on the road in the Big Ten. Keep in mind they are 6-0 in Big Ten play, but 4 of 6 were at home and the two road games were against the likes of Northwestern and Illinois. 

Michigan was far from dominant in either of those two conference road games. They barely held on for a 62-60 win at Northwestern and could never really pull away from a bad Illinois team in a 79-69 victory. I know Wisconsin has not looked great of late, losing 4 of their last 5, but all 4 losses were by single-digits. With the way this team defends they are capable of beating any team in the country. 

You also have to factor in just how much the public loves Michigan and how enticing this line is. Books are begging for money on the Wolverines, which has to make you like the Badgers that much more. Take Wisconsin! 

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3* NCAAB Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on SMU +

Everyone is going to be on Memphis as a small home favorite and you have to think the books not only like the Mustangs to cover but win this game outright. I see it the same way. SMU is going to be extremely motivated here having lost their last two, including a rare home loss last time out against Houston. 

The big edge here for the Mustangs is their defense. SMU is only giving up 66.6 ppg on the season and have tightened up the screws even more in league play. Opponents are scoring just 64.2 ppg and shooting 39.6% from the field against the Mustangs. Memphis on the other hand is giving up 78.7 ppg in league play. Take SMU! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on James Madison +

Love the value here with the Dukes getting points at Drexel. The Dragons are coming in off a home win against Towson, where they held the Tigers to just 32.4% shooting. That's a rare good defensive effort for Drexel. The Dragons had allowed 10 of their last 11 opponents to shoot 48% or better. 

All of this sets up a great system to fade Drexel in this spot. Home favorites that are allowing teams to shoot 45% or better against them on the season are a mere 38-75 (33.6%) ATS after a game where they held a team to 33% or worse. Take James Madison! 

5* NCAAB Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Towson +

Love the value here with the Tigers at this price. Towson comes in having lost 6 straight and failed to cover the spread in all 6. It's been some bad luck for the Tigers, as all 6 losses have been respectable. The most they lost by in this stretch is 12-points. 

Delaware is coming in off a win and cover at home against James Madison. They have struggled i this spot historically, going just 39-61 ATS at home at a cover. I think the Blue Hens will really struggle to give the Tigers the respect they deserve. Wouldn't be shocked at all if Towson won this game.

Adding to this is a big time system in play on the Tigers. Underdogs who are coming off a game where they shot 33% or worse from the field are 78-34 (70%) ATS over the last 5 seasons in games where you have two average defensive teams that are allowing teams to shoot 42.5%-45%. Take Towson +6!

3* NBA Afternoon Bookie DESTROYER on Thunder +

If this isn't the definition of a public trap, I don't know what is. The 76ers come in having won 3 straight. The last two being a 120-96 win at Indiana and a 149-107 thrashing of the Timberwolves at home. The Thunder come in off a home loss to the Lakers and are a mere 1-5 in their last 6. 

The public won't be able to bet the 76ers fast enough, which is why I'm jumping on OKC in this one. Good chances Embiid doesn't play, as he's dealing with a bad back. I think not having him against this Thunder team would be a big blow, but either way I think OKC gets back on track. Take Oklahoma City! 

3* Rams/Saints NFC Championship NO-BRAINER on Rams +

I just think the Saints have looked vulnerable down the stretch. The offense that made them so great early on, is struggling to score. There's just not nearly as many explosive plays and I think it's going to cost them not just a cover but a win on Sunday. 

Everyone is giving New Orleans a pass because the game is at home, but I think the Rams are well prepared for what the atmosphere will be like. Not only did LA visit the Superdome in the regular-season, but they also played at New Orleans in the preseason. 

I also think people are overlooking just how good this Rams defense is playing. When they are getting max effort from Suh and Donald in the middle, everything falls into place. Having Talib back in the secondary is also huge. I think LA will be able to contain Brees by really focusing in on Michael Thomas. 

On the flip side of this, I know the Saints defense has had it's moments, but this Rams offense, much like the Chiefs, is one that is really tough to contain when they got things rolling. No disrespect to Foles and what he did to get the Eagles into the playoffs, but outside of that first couple drives he was off his game. I think Goff exposes New Orleans' secondary, as they really gear up to stopping the run. Take Los Angeles on the money line!