Jimmy Boyd

3* NHL Underdog PLAY OF THE DAY on Sabres +

This is simply too good a price to pass up on Buffalo with the direction these two teams are headed. The Sabres have won 5 straight and are near the top of the standings at 12-6-2.

On the flip side of this, Pittsburgh is a mere 1-7-1 over their last 8 games and are dead least in the east at 7-8-3 overall. The key here is the Penguins are a very public team, having won 2 of the last 3 Stanley Cup's. Not to mention Buffalo is a major surprise, as they haven't really been competitive in recent years, so while their record is strong, people will be slow to trust them, especially on the road against a team like Pittsburgh.

I just think people get in the trap of assuming a team that's suppose to be good will just snap out of it. I would rather ride it out and take advantage of all the value fading them. Take Buffalo! 

1* Free Pick on Suns/Sixers UNDER

I don't see these two teams eclipsing the mark set by the books. This is a bit of a flat spot for the 76ers after Saturday's thrilling overtime win at Charlotte. All 5 starters for Philadelphia loved at least 30 minutes. I'm not saying they won't show up, but I don't see them playing at the pace needed to score 225+. 

They won't need to against this Suns team. Phoenix is not a good offensive team and come in shooting a mere 43.7% from the field and 27.7% from deep on the road this season. UNDER has cashed in 6 of the Suns' last 7 vs the Eastern Conference and is 12-3 in their last 15 road games against a team that's won more than 60% of their home games. 

UNDER is also 5-1-1 in the 76ers last 7 at home vs a team that's won fewer than 40% of their road games. Take the UNDER! 

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4* Chiefs/Rams MNF Vegas INSIDER on Chiefs/Rams UNDER

There's no denying that these are two of the best offensive teams in the NFL, but the books are on top of it. They know the public is going to bet the OVER no matter what number they put up and so they have set this thing ridiculously high. I just feel there's too much value at this number to not take a shot on the UNDER. 

Neither of these defenses have been very good, but I just feel there's too much talent on that Rams side of the ball for them to continue to struggle. As for the Chiefs, they have quietly been playing better on that side of the ball. Keep in mind they had a lot of young guys and new additions to that side of the ball, so it was going to take some time for them to gel. One thing is for, they can get after the quarterback. 

With the loss of Cooper Kupp, I think the Rams will be a little more run-heavy and the same could go for the Chiefs, as they are definitely aware of LA's struggles against the runs in recent games. That likely leads to some long drives. A few redzone stops be either defense and this thing could end up flying well below the mark. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT on Arizona -

Iowa State is getting way too much love here against the Wildcats. This might not be your typically Arizona team that has the talent to be a serious national title contender, but this is still one of the most talented teams in the country. I like that they are flying under the radar coming into the year, as they should be playing with a chip on their shoulder. 

Iowa State is going to be a dangerous team come March if they can get healthy, but they are playing without preseason All-Big 12 guard Lindell Wigginton, who is out with a foot injury. On top of that, returning starters Cameron Lard (suspension) and Solomon Young (Groin) are also not playing. 

I get the Cyclones have looked great so far without those key pieces, but all 3 games for them have come at home, where they have quite the home court edge. This one is being played in Hawaii at the Maui Invitational. Take Arizona! 

5* NBA Vegas NO LIMIT Top Play on Suns +

I really like the value here with Phoenix as a double-digit dog against the 76ers. I just think Philadelphia is bit overvalued right now with the recent trade of Jimmy Butler and them having won and covered their last two. 

The thing is, they could very easily be 0-3 with Butler. They lost his debut at Orlando, beat Utah at home by just 6 points and the Jazz shot 4 of 22 (18.2%) from deep and 56.8% from the free throw line. Then last time out they overcame a 60-point night from Kemba Walker in a 122-119 overtime win at Charlotte. 

I think that game against the Hornets really took a lot out of this team (all 5 starters played 30+ mins) and this is not as deep a team after the trade. With how bad the Suns have been, I just feel this is one of those games that the 76ers go through the motions and have to scratch out a win late. Take Phoenix! 

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

No analysis on late info insiders due to time restrictions, but they factor in information we receive close to game time. This might be injuries, starting lineups, or weather. These profitable situations are only available to long term subscribers.

3* NCAAF No Doubt ATS BLOWOUT  on Northern Illinois -

I think we are getting a solid price here on the Huskies due to the fact that people will assume they want nothing to do with this game having already locked up a spot in next week's MAC title game. I'm not buying that at all.

I think having lost last week at home to Miami will have this team locked in for this contest. Keep in mind that while they lost the RedHawks, their defense was outstanding, as Miami won the game on a pick-six. 

If they play any kind of defense in this one, they should win here by double-digits rather easy, as Western Michigan has completely thrown in the towel on the defensive side of the ball. In the Broncos last 3 game they have allowed 42 to Ball State, 59 to Ohio and 51 to Toledo. Take Northern Illinois! 

4* NBA Over/Under Total NO-BRAINER on Nets/Heat UNDER

Total is too high here for this matchup. Brooklyn's not the same offensive team after losing their leading scorer in Caris LeVert and Miami's offense doesn't run the same without starting point guard Goran Dragic, who is out indefinitely with a knee injury. 

Heat have failed to score 100 points in each of their last 2, including a mere 97 last time out at home to the Lakers, who aren't exactly a top notch defensive team. Add in the familiarity with these two teams having just played each other a week ago, I look for both offenses to struggle to get going. In large part because I think Miami's defense will show up in a big way here, but the offense will continue to struggle to score without Dragic. 

UNDER 7-2 in the last 9 meetings in this series. It's also 7-2 in Miami's last 9 vs a team with a losing record and 8-2 in the Nets last 10 vs a team with a losing record. Take the UNDER! 

4* NCAAB Situational VEGAS INSIDER on Bradley +

I'll take the points with the Braves in this neutral site showdown with the Mustangs. Bradley is a dangerous team in the MVC, as they bring back 4 starters from a 20-win team. They are 3-1 to start the year with the only loss coming to Illinois-Chicago by a mere 1-point. 

SMU is off a miserable 2017-18 campaign, where injuries derailed what could have been a special season. A lot of people will expect the Mustangs to bounce back, but I'm not so sure that will be the case. They lost another NBA talent in Shake Milton, their third pro in the last two years. Two of their key guys back this year are both questionable to play in Everertt Ray and Jarrey Foster.

SMU has already lost by 10 as a 9.5-point home favorite to Southern Miss and by 6 as a 10-point home favorite to Lipscomb. The Braves are better than both of those teams. Take Bradley!