Doc’s Sports

The Suns have been almost perfect for bettors this season at 7-1 ATS. They played their worst game of the season last time out in a home blowout loss to the Heat. But they have had two nights off to regroup and they should play much better here tonight. We think the Nets come into the season a bit overrated. This team will be a real contender when Durant is in the mix, but he won’t be on the court until next season most likely. But it seems like the bookies are lining their games like he is playing because this team had a lot of offseason buzz.  

Orlando ended a four-game losing streak last time out with a big win over the Grizzlies. It’s only the Grizzlies and this is not a good team, but Orlando was super dominant in that game and we think this is a team trending upwards after a slow start. They have won three straight in this series and covered in four of five meetings, and we think they match up well here as well, especially with Oladipo still sidelined for the Pacers.

The Timberwolves have played a road-heavy schedule thus far this season, and we think they are a but undervalued right now. We had this game handicapped at PK, so we think there is nice value here. The public is heavily on the road favorite here, and often that is a good spot for a sharp bet on the home underdog. We think the Wolves will bring their A Game here in this Sunday afternoon matchup and expect them to compete for the outright win.

4-Unit Play. #013. Take Edmonton +105 over Anaheim (Sunday at 9:05 pm).

We are traveling today so no time for a lengthy write-up. We like the Oilers here as they come off a perfect 60 minutes of hockey against NJ and we like that momentum to carry over into this crucial division game. The Ducks have been a good surprise this season but they give up a ton of shots and scoring chances and we expect Edmonton's talent to be able to win this game for them. Take Edmonton as a small dog.

4 Unit Play. Take #688 Under in Florida State @ Florida (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 ESPN) This game usually goes down to the wire and I see both teams playing this close to the best on Sunday afternoon. All the trends on both teams point to the under, as the Gators have gone under the posted total in 6 of their last 7 home games. Florida State has gone under the posted total in 19 of their last 26 road games.

Best of Luck – Doc’s Sports

10 Unit Play. Take #272 Dallas Cowboys over Minnesota Vikings (8:20p.m., Sunday, November 10 NBC) The Vikings are coming off a bad loss to the Chiefs last week and now head to a primetime game against the Cowboys. QB Cousins does not usually shine during primetime games and expect that to be the case once again on Sunday Night Football. Dallas turned it on in the second half last time out against the Giants and they should be healthier this week on defense. Minnesota is 3-12 ATS in their last 15 games against teams with a winning record. Dallas has covered the spread 5 straight times during games played in November. The favorite is 9-2 ATS in the last 11 meetings between Minnesota and Dallas.

4 Unit Play. #266 Take Chicago Bears over Detroit Lions (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) Both teams are on life support but I just do not see the Chicago Bears losing 4 home games this season in their first 5 home games. Chicago usually plays well as a home favorite covering the spread in 8 of the 11 games in this situation. Detroit will be one dimensional in this game and expect QB Stafford to post yards in this game but not enough points to keep pace. Chicago is 8-1 ATS in their lasts 9 games against NFC North teams. The favorite is 3-0 ATS in the last 4 games between Detroit and Chicago. The Lions are 13-27 ATS (2 pushes) in their last 42 road games against teams with a losing home record.

4 Unit Play. Take #264 Green Bay Packers over Carolina Panthers (4:25p.m., Sunday, November 10 FOX) This game got flexed to the late afternoon and it features two teams with winning records. The Packers came out flat last week in Los Angeles but expect them to play much better this week at home against Carolina. Because of that performance, we now have a line under 7 points and Green Bay should be able to attack this inexperienced quarterback in Kyle Allen. Green Bay has a bye on deck and needs to keep winning with a trip to Minnesota looming down the road. The home team has covered the spread in 4 straight meetings between Carolina and Green Bay.

4 Unit Play. Take #253 Buffalo Bills over Cleveland Browns (1p.m., Sunday, November 10 CBS) People are not getting off the Browns bandwagon and it only took them going 2-6 to open the 2019 season. Buffalo has feasted on bad teams this season to produce a 6-2 record and win No. 7 will come this week against Cleveland. The Browns are 0-3 this season at home and they are in dysfunction with a head coach that appears to be in over his head and a quarterback that appears to be overrated. Getting points is just icing on the cake in this game. Cleveland is 5-21 ATS (1 push) in their last 27 games against teams with a winning record. Buffalo is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.

Both teams have leaned heavily to the under this season so far with a combined 12-7 record for the over. Also, six of the last seven meetings have gone over the posted total. Minnesota comes in on a back-to-back and they played OT yesterday and also OT in their Nov. 8 game vs. the Warriors. We just don’t see them having the energy to play strong defense tonight and we see this Detroit club achieving their offensive goals tonight. We agree with the oddsmakers that this should be a close game and both teams get their points, and OT would not be out of the question for Minnesota for three straight games!

10 Unit Play. Take #742 Texas A&M over ULM (8p.m., Monday, November 11 SECN+) We will side with the home team in this battle of unbeaten teams tonight in College Station. The Aggies were not that impressive in their opening game and did not come close to covering the 27.5 number against Northwestern State. I expect a 20+ point victory tonight and that will be more than enough to cover this spread. ULM is 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games following a victory in their previous game. A&M is 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following an ATS loss in their previous game.